NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed6c6096de7b35345ad459a5d5232e58ff0ddab1cba9ce70b8ab8fd5a532f659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 18,793$10,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,261.9 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 45c | 15,257$6,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,391.48 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 55c | 13,832$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,607.62 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 11,236$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,141.35 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 9,821$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 45c | 8,166$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.18 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…cac8backed Over | 56c | 4,378$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 35c | 2,498$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 1,972$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.04 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 1,939$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.42 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 53c | 1,939$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 1,194$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.47 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 1,193$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,093$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Over | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 55c | 995.17$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.7 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 53c | 919.48$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.87 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 580.58$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 56c | 429.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 49c | 383.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.78 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 349.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.49 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Under | 39c | 334.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.77 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 58c | 285.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.72 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 44c | 274.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 253.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.33 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Under | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 211.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 52c | 183.12$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 54c | 179.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 45c | 177.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 45c | 172.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…c488backed Under | 45c | 145.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 55c | 138.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 122.47$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 44c | 107.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 44c | 98.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 97.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 86.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 57c | 81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 80.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 58c | 65.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 64.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 54c | 61.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 58.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 53c | 43.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 55c | 40.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64e…5d27backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 64c | 33.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 52c | 31.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…eaa0backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 56c | 24.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 54c | 24.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…1a96backed Under | 45c | 24.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Over | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. MagicHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-20.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.