NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdced8891984992e5b06eb378369b2b70cf965e78253d8544c9b82afc14c7fae

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Magic
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $521,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $539,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,864 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks	52c	273,302$142,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131,184.74	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Magic	48c	150,000$72,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72,000	262	53.8%141 W · 121 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic	48c	42,440$20,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,371.28	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Magic	49c	41,169$20,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,172.85	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Magic	48c	36,480$17,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,510.4	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Hawks	52c	29,602$15,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,222.89	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Magic	48c	25,180$12,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,086.56	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks	52c	20,327$10,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,794.63	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Hawks	51c	19,697$10,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,651.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Magic	50c	19,399$9,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,688	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic	48c	17,709$8,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,500.44	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	27c	16,968$4,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,539.87	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	49c	16,393$7,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,982.92	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Hawks	80c	14,098$11,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,819.61	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic	48c	13,488$6,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,474.43	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic	48c	13,091$6,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,283.68	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks	51c	11,955$6,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,858.07	1,556	52.8%822 W · 734 L	+40.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa75…f082backed Hawks	52c	9,926$5,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,773.33	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Magic	49c	8,845$4,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,334.11	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Magic	50c	4,990$2,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,494.86	42	7.1%3 W · 39 L	-8.1wins	-0.19per pick	26cpaid	-86.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Hawks	51c	4,799$2,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,372.88	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic	48c	4,215$2,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,042.83	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Magic	48c	3,936$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.35	398	42.5%169 W · 229 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic	49c	3,878$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900.02	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Magic	49c	3,118$1,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.62	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Magic	50c	2,199$1,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,095.68	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Hawks	50c	2,135$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.57	157	53.5%84 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Hawks	50c	2,002$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.04	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Magic	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Magic	49c	1,400$686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Hawks	51c	1,288$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.12	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Magic	49c	1,267$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.69	110	33.6%37 W · 73 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Magic	47c	1,060$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.2	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Hawks	51c	1,000$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks	51c	948.1$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	48c	931.79$447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.26	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks	53c	812.31$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.79	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Magic	49c	809.7$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.75	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Hawks	52c	776.96$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.94	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Magic	49c	738.17$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.7	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hawks	60c	687.17$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.1	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Hawks	52c	611.86$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.69	206	50%103 W · 103 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Hawks	52c	582.72$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.71	333	60.4%201 W · 132 L	+17.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Magic	48c	562.42$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.96	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks	50c	549.29$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.93	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks	50c	528.42$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.52	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Magic	49c	494.59$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.35	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Magic	49c	484.7$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.5	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Hawks	51c	475.78$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.13	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hawks	52c	466.92$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.12	395	52.2%206 W · 189 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Hawks	52c	421.46$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.3	139	35.3%49 W · 90 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Magic	49c	395.67$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.88	224	47.8%107 W · 117 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Hawks	50c	388$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	84	50%42 W · 42 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf498…3d66backed Magic	49c	341.64$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.74	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Magic	25c	335.3$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe975…9d22backed Magic	49c	331.19$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.88	180	55%99 W · 81 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ff…edfdbacked Magic	49c	296.76$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.41	169	48.5%82 W · 87 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Magic	49c	293.73$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.93	176	51.7%91 W · 85 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3d…a3e8backed Hawks	57c	282.45$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.5	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Magic	49c	241.36$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.27	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hawks	51c	217.45$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.16	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Magic	32c	203.86$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.55	193	60.1%116 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Magic	49c	197.84$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Magic	49c	193.88$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	428	45.1%193 W · 235 L	-15.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92e1…cec0backed Hawks	52c	186.78$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	7	100%7 W · 0 L	+3.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Hawks	52c	186.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf5…815bbacked Magic	48c	175.86$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.28	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeef…5667backed Magic	49c	165.01$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.45	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf10…691bbacked Magic	48c	160.81$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.53	137	51.1%70 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Hawks	54c	145.58$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.43	575	50.3%289 W · 286 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11a…09eebacked Magic	49c	144.42$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.77	106	56.6%60 W · 46 L	+6.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Hawks	52c	142.77$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.53	293	52.9%155 W · 138 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Magic	49c	142.44$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.8	217	53%115 W · 102 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a7…22a7backed Magic	49c	142.44$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.8	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c71…be3cbacked Magic	49c	141.91$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hawks	52c	136.73$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.63	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks	51c	135.16$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.36	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Hawks	51c	130$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.7	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Hawks	52c	118.49$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.87	366	43.2%158 W · 208 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Magic	48c	115.75$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.4	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Magic	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Magic	49c	98.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	171	55.6%95 W · 76 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Magic	49c	98.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	660	46.4%306 W · 354 L	-21.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Magic	50c	96.01$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Hawks	52c	96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	202	37.1%75 W · 127 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Hawks	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	69	60.9%42 W · 27 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hawks	52c	93.38$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	534	53.4%285 W · 249 L	+19.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177a…c53cbacked Hawks	52c	93.37$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.82	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks	52c	92.24$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.27	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Hawks	52c	90.77$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.57	368	42.4%156 W · 212 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1c…debbbacked Magic	49c	87.25$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	204	43.6%89 W · 115 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Magic	49c	76.94$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Magic	48c	75.1$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.05	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Hawks	52c	74.71$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.86	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Magic	49c	69.24$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.93	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Magic	49c	67.11$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.84	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…54d1backed Hawks	51c	63.51$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.12	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Magic	48c	61.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Hawks	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4954…ac42backed Magic	49c	59.35$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Hawks vs. MagicHawks won
Hawks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Hawks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Under won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-20.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event