NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12705e84534c863ee0ed26c3a7366204115a606c29026d6d3fb262061fb5d5a3

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Magic
Resolved: Apr 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $158,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $162,719

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,740 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks	44c	44,036$19,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,606.15	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic	58c	42,103$24,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,368.17	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic	51c	16,598$8,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,503.8	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Magic	51c	8,593$4,382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,382.42	328	46.6%153 W · 175 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Magic	50c	6,014$3,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,007.01	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Hawks	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,060	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c01…1b91backed Hawks	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.99	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+60.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1df…cb3abacked Magic	49c	6,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,939.97	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic	53c	4,324$2,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,291.37	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Hawks	43c	4,000$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,280	129	45.7%59 W · 70 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079.97	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Magic	52c	3,989$2,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,074.11	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Hawks	50c	3,880$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Hawks	49c	3,878$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,977.58	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks	46c	3,243$1,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.6	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Hawks	47c	3,114$1,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,650.34	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Magic	51c	2,745$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.04	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9175…d70fbacked Hawks	43c	2,343$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,335.69	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	42cpaid	+183%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Magic	53c	2,250$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.71	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Hawks	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Magic	52c	1,943$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.13	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Hawks	44c	1,921$851 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.89	166	35.5%59 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks	49c	1,904$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.99	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks	47c	1,851$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$973.02	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Hawks	48c	1,817$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$944.58	416	49.8%207 W · 209 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks	48c	1,702$817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.13	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks	42c	1,543$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.02	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Hawks	51c	1,486$758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.18	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Magic	53c	1,341$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.55	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Hawks	48c	1,334$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.75	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	48c	1,047$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.5	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Magic	56c	1,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Hawks	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	442	52.3%231 W · 211 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Hawks	49c	1,000$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Magic	51c	999.98$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.99	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Magic	51c	997.04$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.49	291	49.5%144 W · 147 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf984…5098backed Hawks	49c	989.18$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504.48	73	37%27 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Magic	56c	986.59$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.49	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Hawks	48c	965$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.8	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Magic	57c	921.68$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.36	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Magic	56c	899.92$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.96	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks	41c	731.71$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.71	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks	50c	715.79$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.49	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks	50c	715.79$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.49	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hawks	48c	696.05$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.95	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Hawks	47c	692.16$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$366.84	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Hawks	50c	691.73$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.73	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Hawks	47c	638.28$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.29	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks	42c	634.46$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.44	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Hawks	46c	632.56$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.71	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawks	44c	627.87$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.61	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Magic	51c	599.93$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.96	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Hawks	49c	593.51$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.69	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Hawks	49c	590.01$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.99	443	45.1%200 W · 243 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Magic	47c	570.45$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.64	289	49.1%142 W · 147 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks	43c	553.61$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.57	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Magic	53c	503.25$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.72	192	58.3%112 W · 80 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Magic	55c	500.02$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.01	228	46.1%105 W · 123 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hawks	41c	500$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Hawks	43c	500$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Magic	54c	478.71$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.51	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Magic	56c	455.54$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.1	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Hawks	48c	416.66$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.66	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Hawks	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Magic	53c	399.99$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hawks	48c	399.98$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.99	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Hawks	44c	388.74$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.78	95	50.5%48 W · 47 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Hawks	50c	388$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Hawks	44c	386.56$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.47	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Magic	52c	373.54$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.24	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Hawks	52c	373.39$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.62	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks	51c	353.45$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.19	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hawks	51c	353.45$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.19	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3901…d0e2backed Hawks	42c	352.34$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.66	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Magic	57c	346.95$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.76	235	50.2%118 W · 117 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Hawks	45c	313.74$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.56	389	42.9%167 W · 222 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Magic	52c	312.55$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.53	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Magic	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	108	54.6%59 W · 49 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Hawks	49c	291.55$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.69	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Magic	52c	291.36$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.51	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Magic	57c	287.2$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.7	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic	52c	275.94$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.7	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Hawks	46c	258.95$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.91	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Magic	53c	258.67$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.79	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks	42c	250$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Hawks	50c	240.01$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.65	146	40.4%59 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Hawks	48c	232.48$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.16	280	56.4%158 W · 122 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Hawks	50c	205.91$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.55	679	49.8%338 W · 341 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Magic	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Magic	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Hawks	43c	197.65$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.66	362	48.1%174 W · 188 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Magic	57c	197.38$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.51	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Hawks	47c	196.88$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.88	315	40.3%127 W · 188 L	-15.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Hawks	50c	195.77$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.71	575	50.3%289 W · 286 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Magic	54c	194.45$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.6	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Hawks	51c	190.31$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.25	251	50.6%127 W · 124 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Magic	53c	183.36$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.18	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Magic	57c	175.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	661	53.3%352 W · 309 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe878…e281backed Magic	53c	172.21$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.17	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-22%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hawks	41c	171$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.89	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Hawks vs. MagicHawks won
Hawks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Hawks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Under won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-20.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event