TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$200,830
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,830 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Hawks48c118,888$57,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,861.2587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic52c58,000$30,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,1604,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Magic53c30,812$16,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,330.4115952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Magic52c21,000$10,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9208839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks47c16,227$7,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,520.679,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic53c8,895$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.341,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hawks47c7,149$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,788.921,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic52c6,762$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5161,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic53c6,271$3,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.643148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magic52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic52c5,429$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,823.081,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Magic52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Magic36c4,363$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.263,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hawks47c3,607$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.821,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hawks47c3,583$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.41,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks46c3,173$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.058,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Magic52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09222948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Magic1c1,765$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8919246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hawks47c1,746$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.4190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic52c1,718$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.971,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Magic52c1,553$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.3815644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Magic55c1,459$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.6246145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Magic52c1,337$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.4931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks57c964.53$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Hawks48c913.58$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.0623845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Magic53c902.98$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.731,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Hawks47c824$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.7212542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Magic52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Magic52c624.05$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.41,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Hawks47c577.05$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Magic54c534.82$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.826553.2%141 W · 124 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Hawks47c500.12$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Magic53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9922846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Magic53c490.56$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26092058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Magic54c450.19$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Hawks48c397.69$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Hawks54c355.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7824139%94 W · 147 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks46c272.94$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.386,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Magic54c265.44$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Hawks47c250.81$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8571654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Hawks47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Hawks47c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Hawks48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.959853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Hawks50c201.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0457550.3%289 W · 286 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Magic36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Magic54c198.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.089255.4%51 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Magic54c194.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0249351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Magic53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.778652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Magic54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2435052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Hawks47c147.89$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3828056.4%158 W · 122 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Magic59c140.71$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.341,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawks44c108.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.611,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Hawks48c101.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.753453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e1…cec0backed Hawks47c100.85$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.457100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Magic52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5295260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks47c96.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.313,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Hawks47c82.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6727138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Magic52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.646255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Hawks57c79.53$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.220353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4c2…1c20backed Magic55c77.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.813138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Hawks47c71.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Hawks46c70.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Hawks48c64.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4241449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Magic52c57.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7155347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Magic41c54.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.191,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks47c52.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.713,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Magic54c51.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.413253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Hawks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3058754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Magic52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Magic53c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.522044.5%98 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb988…f50fbacked Hawks49c46.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.636960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Hawks48c44.58$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.188646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Magic52c44.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9560945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed2…ad97backed Hawks47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.845459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Magic55c40.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4321459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x847e…235cbacked Hawks46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Hawks49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1818347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Magic54c36.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.452850%14 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbd…302bbacked Magic54c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hawks46c33.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfc…20b7backed Hawks47c32.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.433345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x026d…ec14backed Magic52c32.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec7…db02backed Magic53c31.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.941735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa837…512fbacked Hawks47c30.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Magic53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.930256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0d…7822backed Hawks49c28.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.712157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Magic52c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5223453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Magic53c25.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Hawks47c24.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Hawks48c24.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.586056.7%34 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Hawks48c24.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Magic54c23.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6414054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Hawks48c23.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.219360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Hawks47c22.16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked Magic55c21.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7711058.2%64 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.