NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8dd12575cdd8874b8d9402a4362fbc57e6af3f2b838efeb9e0329f5d9cc8c9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,992,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,315,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,992,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,509 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Hawks | 56c | 218,010$123,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,950.19 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 39c | 195,400$76,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,622.64 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 57c | 141,581$80,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,879.78 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Magic | 44c | 122,996$54,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,118.4 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 62c | 121,132$74,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,249.34 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Hawks | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,999.93 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Magic | 38c | 75,660$29,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,048.19 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 44c | 74,183$32,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,640.32 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Hawks | 57c | 70,074$39,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,131.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…e0ddbacked Hawks | 66c | 56,515$37,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,329.82 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 44c | 55,493$24,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,152.86 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hawks | 70c | 53,574$37,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,187.99 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Magic | 37c | 49,999$18,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,499.8 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic | 0c | 48,184$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 47,922$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Magic | 43c | 44,888$19,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,302.04 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Hawks | 56c | 41,274$23,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,160.42 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 42cpaid | +125.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Magic | 42c | 41,179$17,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,295.16 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…cd29backed Magic | 0c | 40,423$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Hawks | 60c | 39,999$24,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,849.76 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Hawks | 60c | 38,070$22,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.24 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Magic | 43c | 36,693$15,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,777.8 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Hawks | 57c | 29,124$16,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,426.58 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 44c | 28,992$12,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,756.48 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Magic | 43c | 28,753$12,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,363.97 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Hawks | 59c | 28,744$17,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,648.08 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Hawks | 59c | 26,978$15,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,008.72 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Magic | 44c | 25,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.94 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 10c | 24,120$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.99 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 59c | 23,661$13,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,765.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 18c | 21,148$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.4 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Hawks | 61c | 20,000$12,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,700 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Hawks | 56c | 19,588$10,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,596.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Magic | 43c | 17,198$7,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,395.08 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Hawks | 57c | 17,091$9,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.23 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Magic | 42c | 16,795$7,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,054.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Magic | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Magic | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.98 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Magic | 40c | 12,848$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 61c | 12,776$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.6 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Hawks | 63c | 12,733$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,715.08 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e7e2backed Magic | 37c | 12,500$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,624.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Hawks | 56c | 12,195$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,379.54 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Magic | 40c | 12,159$4,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,811.56 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 31c | 11,703$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.99 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 60c | 11,025$6,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.01 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Magic | 39c | 10,007$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,902.81 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…35aebacked Hawks | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Hawks | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed Hawks | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.97 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Magic | 43c | 9,991$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Hawks | 61c | 9,856$6,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.48 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 38c | 9,765$3,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710.73 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 41c | 9,636$3,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950.86 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Hawks | 57c | 9,600$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.03 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hawks | 57c | 9,600$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080.01 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Magic | 33c | 9,281$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.69 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Hawks | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Magic | 40c | 8,768$3,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.2 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hawks | 60c | 8,747$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.45 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Magic | 30c | 8,135$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Magic | 22c | 8,000$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic | 51c | 7,574$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.41 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340e…36f4backed Hawks | 62c | 6,640$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.12 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Magic | 40c | 6,606$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.92 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 43c | 6,521$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.08 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Magic | 47c | 6,356$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.3 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed Magic | 23c | 6,262$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.12 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Hawks | 63c | 6,246$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.19 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Magic | 42c | 6,079$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Magic | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 5,950$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Magic | 43c | 5,735$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.12 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Magic | 9c | 5,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Magic | 44c | 5,491$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…86afbacked Hawks | 56c | 5,487$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.22 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Hawks | 57c | 5,179$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.58 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…d939backed Magic | 44c | 5,010$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.32 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Hawks | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.97 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Magic | 43c | 4,962$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.62 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Magic | 38c | 4,814$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.32 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Hawks | 60c | 4,734$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.49 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 65c | 4,665$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.89 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hawks | 60c | 4,605$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.45 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Hawks | 56c | 4,585$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.75 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Magic | 44c | 4,393$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.8 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f2…d4a9backed Hawks | 79c | 4,344$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Magic | 39c | 4,300$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.98 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…5250backed Hawks | 60c | 4,255$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.45 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Magic | 37c | 4,200$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.32 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Hawks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Hawks | 58c | 3,993$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.24 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Magic | 18c | 3,988$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.65 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Hawks | 53c | 3,912$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.64 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…d0f1backed Hawks | 63c | 3,893$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Hawks | 63c | 3,880$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.66 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…e54ebacked Hawks | 57c | 3,871$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.44 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Magicthis page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-20.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.