NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9156e79d2a0edc104d0a5b428b65cdcbe077351f2389ea0e74ed2851dcf917d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Under | 48c | 33,333$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,333.09 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 29,626$15,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,405.66 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 52c | 24,301$12,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,636.67 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 24,091$11,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,527.68 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Under | 51c | 19,406$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…329abacked Over | 52c | 11,908$6,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,192.37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 10,065$4,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,233.65 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Over | 50c | 8,025$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.41 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 7,941$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 7,036$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,658.48 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 6,927$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,406.57 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 6,323$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.87 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21da…31ebbacked Under | 55c | 3,558$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.63 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Over | 47c | 3,291$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.79 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 3,017$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 50c | 2,970$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.76 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 54c | 2,902$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 2,567$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 2,528$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 2,528$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.76 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,526$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Under | 53c | 2,416$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.03 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Under | 54c | 2,402$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.4 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 2,104$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.36 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 48c | 2,054$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.01 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 2,043$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.74 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Under | 56c | 1,997$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 1,843$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.94 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,039$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.38 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 988.43$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.17 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Under | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 810.36$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.29 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 774.98$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.72 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 51c | 763.22$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.27 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 49c | 679.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.23 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 53c | 660.97$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.66 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 541.82$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.33 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 529.93$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 520.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.65 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 489.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.04 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 51c | 449.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.22 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 422.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.75 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 57c | 395.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 50c | 391.79$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.62 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 55c | 385.24$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 53c | 366.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…3e1fbacked Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4467…a40bbacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b0…d341backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 199.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 52c | 195.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 44c | 194.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Over | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 186.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 44c | 179.08$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Under | 48c | 166.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 47c | 150.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 53c | 146.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 48c | 127.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Under | 52c | 127$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 50c | 126.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Under | 40c | 123.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 120.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3676…330cbacked Under | 48c | 111.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 107.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…3e08backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 47c | 100.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Under | 40c | 92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 52c | 87.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…39a6backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 45c | 79.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 77.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 49c | 77.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 44c | 74.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 44c | 73.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 45c | 72.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Under | 53c | 70.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. MagicHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Magic: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 238.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 239.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 241.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 242.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Magic: O/U 243.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-20.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-4.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.