TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nevada Wolf Packof Auburn Tigers, Nevada Wolf Pack
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,638 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe248…f293backed Auburn Tigers47c38,500$18,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,264.9878155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c19,987$10,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,593.981,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Auburn Tigers47c17,011$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,997.192,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c14,370$7,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,041.256446.9%30 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfed8…4388backed Nevada Wolf Pack55c8,976$4,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.492653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack54c7,732$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,556.819250%46 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nevada Wolf Pack54c6,310$3,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,903.171,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c5,837$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.2629845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Auburn Tigers49c3,964$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.3417643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Auburn Tigers49c3,099$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.2846246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Auburn Tigers47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41061652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Auburn Tigers44c2,389$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.045,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Auburn Tigers48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.562,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c2,170$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.131838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c1,907$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.43060%18 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack53c1,467$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.431546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Auburn Tigers49c1,072$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.3510749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nevada Wolf Pack53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.81,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Nevada Wolf Pack55c898.92$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.2513350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Auburn Tigers46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32216147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9764…c40cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack54c660.87$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3045253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Nevada Wolf Pack46c641.83$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.099151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Auburn Tigers49c574.13$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7669350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c499.64$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.2313842.8%59 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Nevada Wolf Pack53c495.64$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.956342.9%27 W · 36 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c489.81$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.012969%20 W · 9 L+6.1wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c408.16$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010150.5%51 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c396.52$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c367.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.891,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Auburn Tigers47c316.37$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.695949.2%29 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Auburn Tigers44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13293941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Auburn Tigers45c226.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.0310739.3%42 W · 65 L-8.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Auburn Tigers44c226.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6321937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Auburn Tigers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012054.2%65 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Auburn Tigers46c211.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Auburn Tigers48c184.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7240755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3543…b9bcbacked Nevada Wolf Pack55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers55c171.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.195,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Auburn Tigers47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.924737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nevada Wolf Pack53c166.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.061,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Auburn Tigers46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.68535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers62c118.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c113.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.791225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Auburn Tigers48c109.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.342065%13 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Auburn Tigers51c106.95$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.414,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf21…2ed8backed Auburn Tigers47c105.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Auburn Tigers46c103.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked Auburn Tigers49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Auburn Tigers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Auburn Tigers47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Nevada Wolf Pack53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.959554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Auburn Tigers49c91.74$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.635944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Auburn Tigers49c90.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.351050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nevada Wolf Pack52c82.46$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6322047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Auburn Tigers50c80.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Auburn Tigers46c76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9650548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1bb…6cc9backed Nevada Wolf Pack55c73.9$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2510849.1%53 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…c2e0backed Auburn Tigers48c72.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Auburn Tigers48c72.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.697460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Nevada Wolf Pack25c65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.753432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Nevada Wolf Pack55c62.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Auburn Tigers49c60.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5516650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Auburn Tigers49c55.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1127650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…fe66backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c55.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c54.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.673354.5%18 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf710…edc9backed Nevada Wolf Pack53c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e83…2e2abacked Nevada Wolf Pack51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.814259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Nevada Wolf Pack51c42.17$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.613457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Auburn Tigers48c41.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8316746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Auburn Tigers49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.833537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Auburn Tigers47c39.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c36.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8910048%48 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Nevada Wolf Pack55c36.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.224055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Nevada Wolf Pack47c35.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.124334.9%15 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6b6…2987backed Auburn Tigers49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f68…4132backed Auburn Tigers49c30.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Nevada Wolf Pack50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Auburn Tigers57c29.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1119147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Auburn Tigers50c29.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8722756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Nevada Wolf Pack54c27.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.673447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Auburn Tigers49c27.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Auburn Tigers49c24.82$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.167655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Auburn Tigers43c23.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.061,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Auburn Tigers49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…1765backed Nevada Wolf Pack50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.