Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7946fd76cca9267f5fa109e8bee02848916dcf7028dfa86c80eb20d964d6dcce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nevada Wolf Packof Auburn Tigers, Nevada Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,718 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,699.96 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 23,059$11,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 13,713$6,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.9 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 12,128$5,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.18 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 11,753$5,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.68 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…dcc2backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 50c | 6,005$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 4,463$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 4,148$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.14 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…c593backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 4,083$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 2,868$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Auburn Tigers | 66c | 2,799$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.04 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 51c | 2,697$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.99 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 2,478$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.64 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 47c | 1,950$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.49 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Auburn Tigers | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.83 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Auburn Tigers | 61c | 1,179$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.88 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 44c | 1,074$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 19c | 1,071$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.11 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auburn Tigers | 58c | 1,005$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Auburn Tigers | 50c | 995$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.5 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 950.58$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 874.64$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.06 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auburn Tigers | 45c | 848.05$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.54 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Auburn Tigers | 52c | 323.66$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 295.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Auburn Tigers | 54c | 287.3$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 34c | 256.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 247.82$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.86 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…603dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 198.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Auburn Tigers | 59c | 181.41$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 37c | 156.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 46c | 138.02$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 122.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 121.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 120.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf25…636dbacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 119.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Auburn Tigers | 57c | 95.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Auburn Tigers | 52c | 90.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 87.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 39c | 87.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 55c | 39.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 38.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Auburn Tigers | 53c | 37.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 36.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Auburn Tigers | 64c | 33.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Auburn Tigers | 49c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 39c | 33.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 48c | 28.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Auburn Tigers | 76c | 28.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nevada Wolf Pack | 40c | 27.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…95b2backed Auburn Tigers | 51c | 26.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d74…3163backed Auburn Tigers | 48c | 26.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 40c | 25.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Nevada Wolf Pack | 49c | 21.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)this page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-10.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-11.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-14.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-15.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.