Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2970705fa8ff9d76f30bef5f58e0e9bdbcaaf253f4fdcffceef99c5c388e9ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,695 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 48c | 8,521$4,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,114.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 52c | 3,829$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.04 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 51c | 3,091$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.73 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over | 49c | 2,166$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…dcc2backed Under | 52c | 2,092$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 1,254$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.15 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 263.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.97 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 51c | 192.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 51c | 183.12$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 64c | 49.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 50c | 35.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 28.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…f7f6backed Under | 51c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 21.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over | 51c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 60c | 17.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5this page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-10.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-11.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-14.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-15.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.