Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea7c79c1e4c95f5467642a166d58794c254a44cd122af99fc6206b0a285d2ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 49,870$22,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,960.73 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 54c | 34,946$18,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,119.07 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 54c | 15,336$8,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,021.11 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 46c | 5,828$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.83 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 54c | 5,420$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.83 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Under | 52c | 4,956$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.07 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 2,341$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.46 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,590$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Under | 52c | 1,310$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.79 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 46c | 1,293$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.78 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 793.07$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.88 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 43c | 713.88$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 46c | 646.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 55c | 500.38$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.87 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 46c | 431$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 215.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 45c | 165.49$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 164.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 50c | 158.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Over | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Over | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 46c | 129.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 103.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 53c | 94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 87.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 46c | 86.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Over | 46c | 75.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 51c | 75.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Over | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 46c | 64.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 64.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Over | 47c | 62.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Under | 52c | 57.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 53c | 56.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Over | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 50.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 48c | 49.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 50c | 48.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 43.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…58a3backed Over | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…4a7cbacked Over | 48c | 38.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 36.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +10.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 50c | 29.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…6906backed Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 49c | 27.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 48c | 23.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…0b88backed Over | 46c | 22.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5this page
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn TigersAuburn Tigers won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 133.5Over won
- Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-10.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-11.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-13.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-14.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-15.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-8.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
- Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)Nevada Wolf Pack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.