TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf710…edc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
517
Categories scored
40
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9237%34 W · 58 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.25
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.71
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+431.7%+$176.18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.3
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$105.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.5
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT7331.5%23 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.1
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.3%+$39.17
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.2
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$96.38
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$45.35
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+138.6%+$1,306.89
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.5
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+304%+$75.25
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$56.4
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.56
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48.75
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+33.9%+$63.27
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+27.6%+$43.2
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16.75
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$72.25
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$105.5
Will Mike Johnson vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.11
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.39
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.5
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+213.6%+$37.8
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.76
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.63
Will Starmer say "Thank" 5+ times during the next PMQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+188.3%+$2,342.64
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$989.43
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$157.48
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.44
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.26
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$148.19
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.39
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.12
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$46.54
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.98
Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.25
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7.75
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+423.3%+$364
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.9
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.1%+$11.87
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.78
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$160.23
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$39.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$60.75
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.75
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?backed Gaza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.99
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+38.4%+$104.12
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$20.75
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$27.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$56.89
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$43.5
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+316.7%+$38
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+5.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+206.4%+$245.39
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$30.32
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$75.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,932.75
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+157.4%+$653.28
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.55
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+77.9%+$675.65
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+222.4%+$1,664.92
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+389%+$723.82
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+136.8%+$60.51
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$359.55
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+354.5%+$506.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$117.13
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$1,015.21
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.21
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$41.34
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$134.57
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$84.05
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$30.75
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.69
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.73
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+293.8%+$225.57
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.12
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+262.8%+$231.78
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+103.3%+$63.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$19
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+119.1%+$40.1
Will Sam Altman say "Polymarket" or "Bet" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$83
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+33.9%+$22.14
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+25%+$20
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will GPT-5 be released on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.7
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.63
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.44
Miami Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.75
Miami Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Dallas Open: Taylor Fritz vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Australian Open Women's: Jessica Pegula vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.41
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$94
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+95.7%+$24.11
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$50.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$254.07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$197.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+359.3%+$231.99
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+362%+$206.04
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+985.4%+$1,041.55
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-9.5)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.26
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.07
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Maryland Terrapins vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.75
Furman Paladins vs. Samford Bulldogsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Pepperdine Waves vs. San Diego Toreros: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Connecticut win the 2025 Women’s NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.88
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+202.4%+$200.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$34.15
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95
Scotland to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.5
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.25
Will Mali vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+229.7%+$104.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.3
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$65.03
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+63%+$14.5
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+158.6%+$23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-55.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,938Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$663.76
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$299.14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.9%+$14.25
Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.2
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$221.12
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.96
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$34.38
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick57cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.64
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$83
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$13.51
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$27
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$35.15
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$39
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.05
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will either Cuomo or Mamdani concede by November 4, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+68.5%+$30.5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$97.31
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$83.75
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+53.9%+$63.95
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$45.07
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST+40.2%+$21.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.99
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+244.8%+$35.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+56.3%+$18
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
All 4 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+117.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sherrone Moore charged in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.85
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Englandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+569.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a hurricane form by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+569.7%+$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$146.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stubhub’s market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$51.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.