Fifa International · resolved market
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d8c3546b30a8e64b24efd25517ca12dfd05d8bfc19a80aa1f872c3f8504f8a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe937…d46abacked No | 46c | 756.21$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.1 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 52c | 418.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 315.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed No | 65c | 309.97$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.02 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 43c | 260$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 14c | 249.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…e17dbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 24c | 146.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…30b6backed Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 52c | 119$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Yes | 51c | 105.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad0…7875backed Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…15cdbacked No | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…5131backed Yes | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +139.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -9.0wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f79…af92backed No | 57c | 18.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 62c | 16.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?this page
- Will Bart Verbruggen be in Netherlands's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Brian Brobbey be in Netherlands's Starting 11?No won
- Will Crysencio Summerville be in Netherlands's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Donyell Malen be in Netherlands's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Frenkie de Jong be in Netherlands's Starting 11?Yes won
- Will Robin Roefs be in Netherlands's Starting 11?No won
- Will Virgil van Dijk be in Netherlands's Starting 11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.