TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x661f…30b6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.22
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.95
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$27
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+525%+$82.8
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$33.54
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.74
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$36
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$15.75
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$11.29
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.27
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.98
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$44.87
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.03
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.99
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.54
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.23
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)backed Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.35
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+400%+$70.41
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.