Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f253cfc24c5812e795c7e73f8998e05c43cd1d8d8d19360a03ed165a3234fc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 568.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 19c | 403$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 22c | 285.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…24cdbacked No | 71c | 281.76$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 28c | 235.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 76c | 210.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 27c | 208.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked No | 77c | 199.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…3d88backed No | 78c | 196.58$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 478 | 66.5%318 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…3c91backed Yes | 26c | 191.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 22c | 191$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 39c | 165.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 156$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 24c | 144.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 139.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 137.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 17c | 134.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 128.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 77c | 122.11$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 119.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x81d0…f1dabacked Yes | 32c | 102.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked No | 71c | 99.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 21c | 96.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 89.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 69c | 88.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…ff31backed Yes | 30c | 84.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 29c | 78.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 29c | 78.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 78c | 77.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 76.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 29c | 68.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 74c | 68.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 64.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…6c4abacked Yes | 24c | 62.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 69c | 60.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…a713backed Yes | 27c | 60.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 60.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 22c | 56.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 77c | 52.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc179…5cdebacked Yes | 27c | 51.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 289 | 46%133 W · 156 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 50.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes | 26c | 45.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 67c | 44.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 79c | 40.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…30b6backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 75c | 38.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 37.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 35.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…61babacked No | 75c | 34.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 78c | 31.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 62c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 72c | 23.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 73c | 23.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 68c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 72c | 21.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…ac74backed No | 68c | 18.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 72c | 17.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 76c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 78c | 16.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 73c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6671…e109backed No | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.