Spread: France (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17b566faa4c085b49020ab355d4b81f01037634c6b17b15f455861f3cfb0ab55

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof France, Paraguay
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $17,075,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,102,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,075,290 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,844 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7225…659abacked Paraguay	43c	6,385,478$2,755,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,630,243.42	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf32…3b90backed France	58c	4,000,000$2,340,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,339,999.85	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e25…d49ebacked Paraguay	41c	2,245,489$911,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,333,556.23	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed France	56c	949,227$533,451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533,450.55	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Paraguay	41c	868,738$356,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512,399.94	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Paraguay	41c	550,000$225,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324,500	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25d3…efe2backed Paraguay	41c	487,804$200,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287,804.36	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.27per pick	48cpaid	+53.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed France	55c	460,176$251,205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251,204.82	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed France	59c	407,845$239,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239,948.92	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed France	56c	402,692$226,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226,828.25	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Paraguay	41c	399,999$162,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237,999.64	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked France	56c	327,500$183,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183,400	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked France	53c	322,221$171,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171,554.96	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France	58c	298,646$172,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172,347.75	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Paraguay	48c	262,648$125,819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136,828.9	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed France	52c	257,753$135,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135,274.73	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed France	60c	194,759$116,681 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116,680.78	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked France	59c	190,141$112,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112,699.07	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked France	58c	189,652$110,931 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,930.78	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked France	60c	172,574$103,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103,544.19	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Paraguay	44c	170,000$74,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,899.86	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x568a…04d9backed France	59c	153,538$91,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,105.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed France	49c	150,000$73,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73,499.99	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed France	59c	137,998$81,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,419.08	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed France	56c	127,765$71,548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,548.4	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked France	61c	115,658$70,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,000	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Paraguay	60c	115,236$69,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,094.37	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked France	40c	113,654$45,462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,461.61	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed France	58c	100,000$58,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,200	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed France	58c	86,736$50,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,607.16	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked France	59c	80,000$47,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,199.93	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed France	59c	75,000$44,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,000.24	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed France	42c	72,564$30,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,402.4	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed France	58c	72,310$42,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,233.84	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed France	59c	71,231$42,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,026.41	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed France	48c	70,936$34,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,392.05	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed France	53c	66,014$35,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,000	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Paraguay	47c	65,000$30,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,149.85	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France	42c	60,175$25,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,455.89	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France	40c	59,273$23,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,581.54	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Paraguay	49c	58,285$28,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,922.53	175	50.3%88 W · 87 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed France	43c	57,777$24,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,888.5	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed France	51c	56,147$28,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,634.82	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Paraguay	80c	52,815$42,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,815.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…73c3backed France	42c	50,000$21,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,999.99	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked France	55c	43,352$23,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,797.12	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed France	60c	43,000$25,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,779.98	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked France	59c	40,000$23,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,400	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Paraguay	40c	40,000$15,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,199.9	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed France	57c	38,000$21,793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,792.78	59	39%23 W · 36 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed France	59c	37,000$21,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,840	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked France	57c	35,037$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked France	57c	33,000$18,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,810	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x132f…453bbacked France	57c	31,079$17,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,648.17	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Paraguay	39c	30,693$11,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,722.99	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Paraguay	60c	30,207$18,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,082.75	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc6…9c5cbacked France	56c	30,122$16,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,869.53	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked France	59c	30,000$17,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,700	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed France	60c	30,000$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,000	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed France	58c	29,973$17,481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,480.54	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed France	56c	27,499$15,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,449.82	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed France	57c	26,275$14,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,976.75	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2600…ea13backed France	60c	26,000$15,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,600	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed France	59c	25,000$14,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,750	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Paraguay	41c	25,000$10,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,749.99	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked France	54c	24,985$13,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,500	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed France	51c	24,562$12,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,500	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed France	58c	23,743$13,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,771.06	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked France	34c	22,708$7,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,704.23	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4810…289abacked Paraguay	43c	22,478$9,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,713.21	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed France	58c	22,239$12,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,831.15	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked France	60c	21,724$13,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,000	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed France	60c	20,940$12,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,564	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb583…b0b3backed France	59c	20,339$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed France	59c	20,133$11,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,876.03	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Paraguay	69c	20,058$13,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,180.39	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed France	56c	20,000$11,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,200	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked France	56c	20,000$11,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,200	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed France	61c	20,000$12,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,200	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed France	60c	20,000$12,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,000	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed France	26c	20,000$5,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,200	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Paraguay	40c	20,000$8,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,999.96	159	50.3%80 W · 79 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked France	59c	19,318$11,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,397.62	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed France	56c	19,040$10,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,662.4	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked France	51c	18,779$9,646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,645.95	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked France	57c	18,467$10,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,584.96	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed France	57c	17,396$9,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,915.85	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked France	58c	17,241$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed France	59c	17,000$10,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,030	137	25.5%35 W · 102 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France	59c	16,900$9,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,971	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked France	60c	16,667$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed France	60c	16,455$9,873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,873.28	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed France	61c	16,393$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed France	58c	16,010$9,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,333.89	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Paraguay	39c	16,000$6,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,719.94	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Paraguay	39c	16,000$6,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,719.93	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed France	58c	15,772$9,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,147.76	98	46.9%46 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb2…f24cbacked France	51c	15,599$7,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,932.81	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed France	16c	15,395$2,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,466.66	176	42%74 W · 102 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed France	56c	15,354$8,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,598.44	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+55.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-1.5)this page
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event