TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5415…f764backed Over46c1,048$486 inLost-$486.239428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under53c635.2$337 inWon+$298.541,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Under56c249.99$140 inWon+$11014949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under56c244$137 inWon+$107.367451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb99e…8c2bbacked Over44c227.36$100 inLost-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c139.67$61 inLost-$61.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c116.53$65 inWon+$51.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost-$508661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under56c108$61 inWon+$47.343,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under57c107.96$62 inWon+$46.4285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under57c103.32$59 inWon+$44.788560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Over52c57.16$30 inLost-$304852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over43c56.25$24 inLost-$24.192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under55c53.83$30 inWon+$24.081,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe060…4392backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9c15backed Over43c46.51$20 inLost-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under57c44.99$26 inWon+$19.357460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49a1…1c02backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost-$202740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under55c44.05$24 inWon+$19.8616344.2%72 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Under49c40$20 inWon+$20.423741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x474b…d7e1backed Over51c38.96$20 inLost-$19.872157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over43c35$15 inLost-$15.051,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under58c32$18 inWon+$13.5482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under46c29.12$13 inWon+$15.7245145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffe2…768dbacked Under58c20$12 inWon+$8.47343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.