Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b672b94dbb931c23af777b11ce1b200d951f0387e9d56a79a0ba60ca10f8f0b

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $24,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,463 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb17e…22bebacked Under	44c	3,512$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,961.44	185	43.8%81 W · 104 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	57c	3,333$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,899.81	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	54c	1,897$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.37	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4e…bd80backed Over	52c	1,538$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under	48c	1,501$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.51	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under	46c	1,111$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.9	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	44c	1,060$469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$590.95	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	47c	910.91$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$482.78	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…a622backed Over	52c	899.99$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	48c	899.05$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.86	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	55c	884.69$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.17	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	46c	819.61$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.59	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4b6…2d0fbacked Under	48c	815.04$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.92	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under	45c	770.95$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.95	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under	43c	712$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.84	245	40.4%99 W · 146 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under	48c	683.33$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.33	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under	42c	600$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Under	45c	582.42$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.65	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Over	57c	526.32$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	127	44.1%56 W · 71 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d13…e9dcbacked Over	58c	517.24$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	48c	508.62$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.6	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Under	48c	507.92$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.12	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under	47c	488.96$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.34	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over	52c	385.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over	54c	360.98$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.93	159	47.2%75 W · 84 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x305e…e886backed Over	53c	356.17$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over	52c	339.27$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.42	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked Under	46c	318$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.32	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	64c	297.59$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.13	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	47c	225.98$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.69	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	38c	222.23$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.89	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a44…d5a5backed Under	46c	220$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.8	165	49.1%81 W · 84 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb9…836bbacked Under	46c	215.5$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.37	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa058…d8febacked Under	47c	208.53$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.52	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	65c	198$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.35	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	47c	191.78$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.64	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	61c	188.35$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.88	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929d…2834backed Over	53c	181.82$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.98	46	63%29 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c6…a111backed Under	60c	167.2$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	40c	146$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under	45c	144$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	48c	117.42$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.4	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	47c	114.16$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.5	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	54c	112$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.33	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	44c	110.45$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.85	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	53c	106.64$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.66	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Under	45c	102.74$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.51	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over	53c	93.18$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…8799backed Over	52c	88.92$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd720…7ac8backed Under	61c	82.51$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.51	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	52c	78.21$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58f…130dbacked Over	58c	68.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2e4dbacked Over	53c	66.94$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.48	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+208.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Over	37c	65.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.59	198	62.1%123 W · 75 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x455d…6011backed Over	54c	65.8$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.53	70	57.1%40 W · 30 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…ddd6backed Over	57c	62.35$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	199	32.2%64 W · 135 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Under	45c	55.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.56	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8431…bd3abacked Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over	49c	53$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e36…0c4abacked Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under	54c	52.36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.16	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under	49c	44.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.95	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b5…e5b1backed Over	45c	44.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac2a…4543backed Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1a…be4fbacked Over	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd1f…fed5backed Over	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	135	26.7%36 W · 99 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e6…ea35backed Over	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.8	163	44.2%72 W · 91 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Over	61c	29.51$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	140	47.9%67 W · 73 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d21…1f1fbacked Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over	54c	27.77$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under	43c	27.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.41	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under	45c	24.09$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under	48c	21.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.43	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under	56c	21.92$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea9…97debacked Over	53c	20.62$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-3.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event