TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,150 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under73c414.08$302 inWon+$111.837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8487…7714backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost-$10015246.1%70 W · 82 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Over40c125$50 inLost-$504852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Under60c125$75 inWon+$503145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over25c89.75$23 inLost-$22.612,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c75$55 inWon+$20.251,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over27c65.46$17 inLost-$17.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Under73c45$33 inWon+$12.157460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under73c22.12$16 inWon+$5.9753448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under73c19$14 inWon+$5.1379149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under74c17.01$13 inWon+$4.4224947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under74c15$11 inWon+$3.977051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under74c14.91$11 inWon+$3.8845548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.