TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,273

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c4,502$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,867.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c4,162$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.154,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under30c1,407$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.091,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over68c1,299$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.4431156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c09…e173backed Over66c1,040$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.32334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Under56c878.16$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.425930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c612.74$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6310…aecabacked Over43c520$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015621.8%34 W · 122 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under30c499.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.9767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Under33c483.68$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5410340.8%42 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over68c330.88$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over70c324.99$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4942640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f2…49aebacked Over70c307.14$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under30c287.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.522634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under32c278.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.022,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff9…ec5dbacked Over58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502060%12 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over54c215.13$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.973855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over51c213.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.192,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over68c206.32$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.35339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over66c200.26$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1729558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.995945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over57c194.25$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x635a…8439backed Over64c187.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205962.7%37 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebdb…fa3dbacked Over68c180.1$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over60c180$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1085745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over67c177.45$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.771,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4325…324dbacked Over69c165.62$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1158762.1%54 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under29c164.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.5446550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Over70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked Under32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10215837.3%59 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Over55c149.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.517460.3%105 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Over65c149.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4813941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015344.4%68 W · 85 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ef…0cd8backed Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x753b…a73fbacked Over68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x091e…aec7backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad0d…4d09backed Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008839.8%35 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x468a…3b4bbacked Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under28c138.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.781,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4b…bda8backed Over55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815d…6b07backed Over40c125.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3108…a522backed Under29c107.01$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8654…3c87backed Over71c104.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-80.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Over68c104.41$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110952.3%57 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over45c102.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.16141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under31c100.27$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3332042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c7…892cbacked Over70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under30c91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.583,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under30c82.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6766056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Over69c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.539956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.49467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359743.3%42 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Over68c77.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d6…a011backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8278…ad93backed Over49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.326344.5%117 W · 146 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over69c69.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2933847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61de…dfa3backed Over45c69.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.211020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-66.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under39c59.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8542554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe1…af91backed Over68c53.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0710047%47 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over72c52$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2692732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…dea9backed Over67c49.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ee3…01abbacked Over68c44.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.198140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under29c43.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed9…225fbacked Over70c42.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304020%8 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Over71c42.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015461%94 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over40c39.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.721,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…6c35backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under32c35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.846247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over62c33.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0919064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b0e…4a25backed Over58c31.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb696…7973backed Over70c30.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over43c29.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.453412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x0d0b…e325backed Over72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-50.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.257460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb354…655ebacked Over67c21.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32250%11 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…46d8backed Over68c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63040%12 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…945ebacked Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8f47backed Over56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over67c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.729955.6%55 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1877…7cd7backed Over64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under70c15.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.627227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.