Spread: France (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c42cef46df181fafb20312bb0f3ec02f62a9fcd8eb742bbd6a9fa1679f6a600

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Paraguayof France, Paraguay
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $824,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $728,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,649 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed France	14c	208,337$28,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,295.27	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked France	20c	84,009$17,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,101.49	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed France	16c	36,665$5,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,736.22	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed France	4c	31,644$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386.59	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed France	5c	24,184$1,224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,224.36	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed France	16c	22,481$3,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,596.98	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed France	15c	17,111$2,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,545.49	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked France	16c	16,276$2,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,604.23	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6639…0e59backed France	16c	10,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked France	6c	8,304$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.68	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed France	18c	7,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed France	16c	6,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	252	28.2%71 W · 181 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked France	20c	5,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	31cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked France	17c	5,000$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed France	15c	5,000$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked France	16c	4,375$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed France	5c	4,329$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.16	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Paraguay	72c	4,000$2,870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,130	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed France	16c	3,598$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	232	36.6%85 W · 147 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Paraguay	73c	3,200$2,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$856	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f40…4383backed France	16c	3,125$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked France	9c	2,627$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.84	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed France	15c	2,113$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.39	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Paraguay	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	214	50.5%108 W · 106 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed France	16c	1,585$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.07	360	31.7%114 W · 246 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed France	6c	1,446$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.2	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked France	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked France	16c	1,005$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.1	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed France	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	97	41.2%40 W · 57 L	+6.5wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked France	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked France	15c	999.97$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ff…5c2abacked France	17c	899.99$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	87	14.9%13 W · 74 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+47.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed France	3c	884.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.85	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked France	3c	798.2$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.95	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked France	17c	777$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.09	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4946…f06cbacked France	15c	733.33$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae4…299fbacked France	16c	686.65$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.86	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	39cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Paraguay	78c	641$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.02	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Paraguay	78c	641$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.02	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed France	17c	589.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed France	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c7a…fdbebacked France	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked France	15c	549.93$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.49	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked France	6c	507.78$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked France	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	450	38.2%172 W · 278 L	-28.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed France	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed France	18c	499.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed France	18c	438.83$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.99	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-7.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a1…504cbacked France	16c	435.13$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed France	17c	405$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.85	75	21.3%16 W · 59 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked France	16c	400.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.13	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed France	16c	392$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked France	17c	388.13$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.16	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed France	15c	372.13$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.42	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked France	7c	350.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.17	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed France	3c	345.73$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.41	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked France	17c	324$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked France	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	272	42.3%115 W · 157 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked France	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	281	43.8%123 W · 158 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed France	17c	306.64$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed France	16c	300.77$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.94	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed France	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	226	34.1%77 W · 149 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe419…f6c4backed France	16c	298.72$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	45cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked France	20c	295$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed France	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…8655backed France	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-26%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked France	18c	223.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed France	16c	218.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	110	31.8%35 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f8…54bdbacked France	6c	216.67$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	239	43.1%103 W · 136 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ff…7803backed France	17c	211.76$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed France	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	128	46.1%59 W · 69 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d1…b949backed France	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed France	14c	200$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	319	20.1%64 W · 255 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked France	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8585…eef1backed France	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e44…f303backed France	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	84	19%16 W · 68 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ff…7a80backed France	16c	187.9$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda7…d089backed France	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed France	20c	180.92$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.18	200	14.5%29 W · 171 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…735ebacked France	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc1…9c9dbacked France	17c	176.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed France	16c	169.75$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Paraguay	78c	160$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.2	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed France	16c	156.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3802…1a48backed France	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	110	40.9%45 W · 65 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76d2…2f4dbacked France	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed France	14c	142.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…6842backed France	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.5wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed France	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb676…48c7backed France	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2208…53eebacked France	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked France	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	360	38.1%137 W · 223 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62c4…0f96backed France	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	50%31 W · 31 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea1…706abacked France	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	35.3%18 W · 33 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed France	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-3.0wins	-0.16per pick	28cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd800…c256backed France	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	313	58.1%182 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c42…82debacked France	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	91	38.5%35 W · 56 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed France	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked France	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	152	25.7%39 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed France	16c	99.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: France (-3.5)this page
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5Over won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 4.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 5.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Paraguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-2.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-4.5)Paraguay won
Spread: France (-5.5)Paraguay won
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)France won
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: France (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event