TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,965,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,993,342

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,965,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Under18c375,744$66,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,583.868,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under16c313,102$51,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,061.128932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under17c63,772$11,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,057.9717642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Under17c58,916$9,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,855.6712536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under4c50,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under6c42,993$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.323,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under8c34,610$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.532,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over73c29,101$21,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under4c23,648$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over75c20,777$15,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.7336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under4c15,280$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under15c14,651$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under18c13,812$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.1844539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca5a…5d29backed Under5c11,634$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under7c10,929$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.922933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Under17c10,022$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.712248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under9c7,762$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.715929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over73c7,399$5,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.3619218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under16c7,225$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.0925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under6c7,195$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.3330626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under4c6,927$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over70c6,786$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.3425125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over74c6,071$4,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.6617827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under12c5,613$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under4c5,082$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2960511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under15c5,026$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.831156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Under4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009324.7%23 W · 70 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under4c4,955$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.19525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under6c4,412$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under24c4,265$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9558942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under23c4,106$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.0364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Under4c3,620$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.130137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under17c3,397$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.34351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under5c3,200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6526534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Over79c3,000$2,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62012249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over73c2,889$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.617040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under4c2,887$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under5c2,727$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1832031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Under9c2,652$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8911227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under25c2,645$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.1226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under13c2,551$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…c28bbacked Under4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012224.6%30 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6999…ae54backed Over75c2,500$1,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.524540.8%100 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50030054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x685c…b626backed Under1c2,225$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.137815.4%12 W · 66 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Under4c2,219$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.987631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under29c1,950$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under4c1,795$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3284844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under23c1,720$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.812,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Under13c1,690$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.893748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under25c1,672$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.9730642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over75c1,628$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40736250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under20c1,606$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7418929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under27c1,560$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.4686455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c3…20e0backed Under4c1,524$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.517823.1%18 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under4c1,500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9919723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8a…2562backed Under10c1,469$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.037025.7%18 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over72c1,456$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.516728.4%19 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Under5c1,452$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.92516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under11c1,451$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8625857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under26c1,449$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6814232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Under19c1,445$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.513857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over70c1,434$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3920447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over77c1,400$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.997364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x76ad…268abacked Under17c1,356$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under19c1,350$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.7822147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under6c1,313$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Under4c1,303$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under24c1,258$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.132,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…377dbacked Under4c1,231$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.299253.3%49 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Under4c1,231$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.395037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x655a…8fadbacked Under5c1,205$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9610715%16 W · 91 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under4c1,199$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9422634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under4c1,166$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.641,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under4c1,164$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over70c1,129$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.3759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30033843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x610b…b5b2backed Under5c1,040$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under9c1,030$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5236234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Over78c1,010$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2301…78cfbacked Under6c998.1$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593743.2%16 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under15c933.57$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.221,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Under17c900$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over71c862.07$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.3613542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under14c815.27$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6912528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Over77c790$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8717723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936a…928bbacked Under13c769.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under17c751.15$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.396533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over69c720.48$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.066842.6%29 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under9c691.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under5c685.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3229450%147 W · 147 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under15c664.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0823036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8a…e0f7backed Under15c663.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.914957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over77c656.1$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.2111647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff14…dd5bbacked Under27c655.59$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0116046.3%74 W · 86 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under14c640$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5871939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…fcefbacked Over76c634.62$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.623464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under9c568.11$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.135651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.