TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$548,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$530,465

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $548,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c203,857$117,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86,143.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c86,799$39,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,924.8523942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over47c50,000$23,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,435.172,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over46c15,000$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,849.9742710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c13,072$7,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.13,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under53c11,501$6,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,401.377545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over45c11,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.998932.6%29 W · 60 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Over47c10,531$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00018047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…6bb6backed Over45c10,339$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7002951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,599.964531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9321937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c9,424$2,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under53c9,001$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,214.7640655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c8,966$4,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,093.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under56c8,731$4,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,841.449551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c7,937$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.572,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Over45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37515144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c5,810$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.482,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under53c5,386$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.541,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5436…de65backed Over47c5,320$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf435…8d38backed Under53c5,320$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9829646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over45c4,922$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.8812825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Over50c4,771$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.522725.9%7 W · 20 L-7.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-45.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Over46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006930.4%21 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under50c4,226$2,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.0377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c4,180$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd062…d893backed Over43c4,132$1,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.921030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c4,096$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.112,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under58c3,455$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.628251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over20c3,419$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.88243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over48c3,000$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.0218644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over24c2,999$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.9436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over41c2,900$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.952,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under57c2,850$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.664,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Over47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17512227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under52c2,382$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.4153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c2,064$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.12,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Over45c2,035$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.759752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2682…4997backed Over47c1,802$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.841921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-60.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0026…b117backed Over46c1,691$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c1,643$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.1359752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over40c1,622$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.811,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under54c1,622$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.311,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over43c1,555$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.421,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed Over41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61519020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64515141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Over23c1,473$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.281279.4%12 W · 115 L+0.4wins0.00per pick9cpaid-50.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over46c1,464$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6626344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under54c1,359$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.511,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over46c1,328$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.881,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under54c1,311$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2632042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under52c1,291$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.7730950.8%157 W · 152 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under52c1,257$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.5746550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over47c1,239$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.332,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over44c1,213$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.5287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…e568backed Over47c1,203$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over42c1,191$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dca…ed09backed Over45c1,106$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.613053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over46c1,065$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4907560%45 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Over46c1,038$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.4834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Over46c1,035$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.314235.2%50 W · 92 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over43c1,034$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.8665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc772…c483backed Over34c1,025$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over29c1,023$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over45c1,022$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Over45c1,022$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4606036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under52c999.97$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa254…244dbacked Over46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under53c913$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.1170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over47c893.62$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eab…9d16backed Over45c872.16$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.471643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…4561backed Over47c863.99$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda7…4fa2backed Over41c863.57$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502544%11 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Over47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c8f…1551backed Under53c850$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…0cc8backed Over45c844.83$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.4114641.1%60 W · 86 L+0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over43c831.16$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.431,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Over46c776.89$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714243.7%62 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under54c761.98$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7276551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under53c759$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7322634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014841.9%62 W · 86 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x362a…d6b4backed Over45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002343.5%10 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+87.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d61…20acbacked Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over17c574.11$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c559.83$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.521,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02d…62c0backed Under53c559.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+40.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over45c558$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.14250%21 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x157c…cbc8backed Under54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.563842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under55c552.42$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5988852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under53c550.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.91,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Over46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b3…6237backed Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.