TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,295,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,411,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,295,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Over1c576,138$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under26c59,861$15,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,496.68,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over1c30,093$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.9334731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c29,792$14,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,855.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2db…2f89backed Over0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over73c20,953$15,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,366.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over46c20,000$9,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,299.935366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c19,963$6,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,417.483,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under77c13,490$10,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.8717642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under55c12,190$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,524.3337650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over72c12,042$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,670.429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over3c10,061$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8428229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked Under24c9,536$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,227.631747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c6,829$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under48c6,448$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.6343737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Over1c5,945$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.458037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over51c5,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over50c5,831$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,915.77930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under37c5,802$2,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under35c5,582$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.9221722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over32c5,566$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78836539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…15a3backed Over56c5,000$2,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,814.993369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Under27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.9611654.3%63 W · 53 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over32c4,219$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over72c3,792$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.1310355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6b6fbacked Over76c3,223$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.79683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over43c3,018$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.273735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under25c2,938$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.4170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over70c2,857$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over8c2,760$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4324947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under27c2,654$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.71,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over20c2,503$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under62c2,420$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.9530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under77c2,403$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.2529740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under62c2,276$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.4364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7128…6fcfbacked Over65c2,261$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2282537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over19c2,126$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under26c2,000$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.493,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under26c2,000$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a79…0d92backed Over22c2,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43015226.3%40 W · 112 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over31c1,988$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.8427227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over48c1,975$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9505435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over74c1,918$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over76c1,832$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.262,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0091…134abacked Over70c1,789$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2561485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under61c1,764$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5719649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8731…2c12backed Under27c1,704$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.72334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over74c1,696$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.582,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over25c1,599$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.5127032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over35c1,449$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over73c1,425$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.4421044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under32c1,422$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under36c1,381$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.9523540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over36c1,356$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.2510537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over1c1,212$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1225125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over3c1,188$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under25c1,151$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.087852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over45c1,065$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.172,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x936a…928bbacked Under57c1,053$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.633743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under25c1,023$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.265930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over1c991.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8712528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26db…ba92backed Under49c988$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.884055%22 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over73c955.95$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6333245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over73c955.29$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6336543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9074…ea32backed Over74c856.69$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over48c826.2$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.92,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under65c797.51$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.7715040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over67c752.46$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.1541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Under67c742.55$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.978356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over73c712.62$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.837444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Under57c702.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.127042.9%30 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over4c613$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.261,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcd…2816backed Over20c595.64$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5511227.7%31 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c579.38$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.961,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Over46c543.9$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2496232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over15c514.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.221,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over40c490.45$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1818449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Over34c449.71$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1622029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over49c431.49$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6571939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over58c431.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under49c412.64$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.1213727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over74c403$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.221,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Over75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Under28c399.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.992433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9188…623dbacked Over43c395.35$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…5daabacked Over76c394.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010263.7%65 W · 37 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa02d…c0b2backed Under55c363.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.87560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+79.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50b0…cdf7backed Over48c354.17$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf8…44e5backed Under78c352.17$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.195052%26 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.