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Fifa International · resolved market

Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$639,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$732,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c92,862$68,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,264.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over34c73,383$24,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,915.2812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over37c54,367$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over39c50,000$19,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,367.142,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under63c49,064$30,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,068.252657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under63c35,727$22,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,301.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under67c28,667$19,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.253,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over37c26,934$9,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,906.8274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under64c22,000$13,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,02014232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under62c17,987$11,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,761.621,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over21c17,500$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.963625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over37c15,800$5,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,84618738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over7c15,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0503735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under62c10,086$6,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.624058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under63c9,000$5,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.4340655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under61c8,000$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,12013746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over33c7,494$2,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.5610051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Under65c6,042$3,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.471070%7 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick42cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over37c4,968$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,838.336930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked Over14c4,904$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6741050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+56.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Under67c4,543$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.654456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf949…3220backed Under63c4,420$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.43754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over28c3,944$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.782,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over36c3,700$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3328243.9%36 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under62c3,619$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.267852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over33c3,554$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.827930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5e37…6789backed Under65c3,385$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.621070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.8270244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Under65c3,271$2,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.7710949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under65c3,050$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.3913953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Over33c3,030$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Under64c2,959$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.0614553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c2,513$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.642,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under71c2,498$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over35c2,020$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.0421444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c2,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under78c1,915$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over37c1,866$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.581,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over37c1,650$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.991,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Over37c1,598$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.1111316.8%19 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over36c1,528$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…9971backed Over37c1,440$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over37c1,436$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.132,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over34c1,423$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.7517042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under63c1,348$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.133,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c1,306$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.431,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under60c1,252$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7646550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under62c1,209$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.4111155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over35c1,121$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.981,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under63c1,024$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.291,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Over39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39022047.7%105 W · 115 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Under61c985$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.154052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over37c955.22$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.9197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Over34c859.97$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3911746.2%54 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over35c848.57$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29746223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over36c831.22$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.143315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over20c822.26$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.679760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over37c762.16$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2829428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over33c755$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.159348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c743.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over26c626.64$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.384,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over39c589.74$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over40c582$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.642,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over39c561.54$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21936024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe660…f522backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007626.3%20 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19045038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12023820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Over32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over39c435.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17015947.2%75 W · 84 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under74c429.93$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.311,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af8…db25backed Over26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410726.2%28 W · 79 L-12.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c369.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.462,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over36c359.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.91,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under66c359.09$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.096066.7%40 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under71c350$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…50c8backed Over36c350$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1266640.9%27 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over19c333.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6417241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over38c328.95$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257222.2%16 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Over30c300.37$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1123443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over31c299.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9327028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over37c280$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.081,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…696cbacked Over39c272$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.0810849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over37c265.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.266141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Over36c264$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0415246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c0b…01a4backed Over39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.44922.4%11 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…144dbacked Over37c255.7$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.