TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c0b…01a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4922.4%11 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$393.4
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66%+$197.93
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$334.62
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Portugal vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.4
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+114%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$936
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,220
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$399.96
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$637.5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+900%+$1,933.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick45cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$133.34
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.