TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$477,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,618 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2759…2b38backed Yes17c60,963$10,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,525.0310536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No80c50,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No79c43,395$34,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,002.521,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf402…df7cbacked Yes20c38,699$7,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,739.761118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes23c21,055$4,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,892.981855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes20c15,393$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.581833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd737…be95backed Yes13c13,433$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…9f6dbacked Yes20c11,746$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes19c11,229$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No78c8,710$6,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.7239443.1%170 W · 224 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No80c7,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No78c6,033$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.155263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No79c6,007$4,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.748853.4%47 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed No80c6,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No80c5,954$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.784544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c5,732$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.8610852.8%57 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c5,732$4,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.4110648.1%51 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No79c5,721$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.188259.8%49 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c5,260$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.6146048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick37cpaid-86.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Yes22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.98825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+100.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No80c4,870$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9742360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes21c4,472$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.136844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Yes19c4,440$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.542326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c3,901$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.6929846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes20c3,332$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+91.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No80c3,328$2,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.61861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60010849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes4c2,917$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4310628.3%30 W · 76 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes19c2,748$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.191729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+87.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4f…81a1backed No77c2,644$2,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes20c2,447$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes29c2,307$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-77.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes16c2,264$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.68446.8%3 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-75.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes20c2,237$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.981643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No78c2,227$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.383762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Yes3c2,129$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.11425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes23c2,123$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.37119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5ed…9374backed No79c2,076$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003063.3%19 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4003658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No78c1,993$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.548840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Yes5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.32429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes10c1,734$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.794628.3%13 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes23c1,644$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.172556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes24c1,577$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.812429.2%7 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+79.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes21c1,554$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c1,526$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.299435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49d…516dbacked Yes22c1,516$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.622638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes26c1,470$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf76a…b506backed Yes10c1,345$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4760%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No77c1,281$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5317048.2%82 W · 88 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes19c1,252$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.852236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Yes20c1,211$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes25c1,155$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.323228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes12c1,137$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.863116.1%5 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No80c1,100$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x838a…add1backed Yes25c1,043$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.023740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20029138.1%111 W · 180 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Yes20c999.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.922250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes22c968.3$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.7624340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes24c954.4$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes23c953.8$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.3721938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d14…ee01backed Yes23c953.8$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.372222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d6…e1fcbacked Yes20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.41369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed Yes20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8015…da39backed Yes20c952$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c948.3$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.185362.3%33 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes23c931.03$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.1470%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d1…c8cebacked Yes22c863.43$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.95728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes23c829.39$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+68%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes3c821.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6338935.2%137 W · 252 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes22c815.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.861717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Yes21c811.78$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.271735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes24c795.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.885416.7%9 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95af…4d4dbacked No69c784.4$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes25c775.46$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes25c764$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes25c754.45$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.614346.5%20 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+34.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb040…9876backed Yes26c735.08$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c717.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.059426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes20c714$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.83020%6 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes23c667.66$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.567240.3%29 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes25c654.71$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.523953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Yes22c649.91$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.981729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Yes5c639.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.976830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No78c632.13$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.716352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Yes20c623.41$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.754235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d6…8d88backed Yes5c603.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes20c597.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5645042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes5c565.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.291816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No78c505.62$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.887652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No77c499.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa846…f93bbacked Yes20c499.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961050%5 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+90.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a3b…7060backed Yes23c499.54$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.89633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes23c497.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.462142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.