TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Harry Kane: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$471,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 769 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20b9…4affbacked No50c80,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,0004040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Yes50c49,996$24,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,997.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Yes50c25,000$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,5003925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c22,454$11,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,227.0116331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe877…8decbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.884652.2%24 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x364d…9f8fbacked No51c19,999$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,799.612166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes49c18,730$9,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,185.241,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked No51c15,200$7,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,44812616.7%21 W · 105 L-12.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes6c12,750$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.4923427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No51c11,013$5,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,415.546464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes49c10,241$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.3136247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…cb82backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017933.5%60 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012532.8%41 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9216260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No51c9,140$4,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,478.6374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d18…24a6backed Yes49c8,954$4,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,387.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Yes49c8,888$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.089161.5%56 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No64c8,801$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,168.3119252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x580e…38cdbacked Yes36c8,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00016739.5%66 W · 101 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No55c7,954$4,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.514,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes50c7,215$3,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,598.414856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00016258.6%95 W · 67 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes46c5,791$2,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,665.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c5,707$3,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,704.481,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes49c5,472$2,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,681.9720633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes49c5,288$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.431,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351a…0302backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9122229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No51c4,943$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.722,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20523240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Yes49c4,500$2,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2051330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes49c4,250$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.0222342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c4,067$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.742,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes74c4,062$3,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,025.3716042.5%68 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes35c4,058$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.36317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.8586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed No65c3,346$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.9813738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No51c3,333$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,632.9314325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30e9…3224backed Yes49c3,124$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.183743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47011256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4704841.7%20 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5003060%18 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked No50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes49c2,680$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.231152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No53c2,666$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.4213163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0943…671bbacked Yes40c2,505$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.221816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed No70c2,452$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.977259.7%43 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No49c2,392$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.852,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Yes37c2,326$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.3118843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes50c2,250$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1258435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes49c2,202$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.962825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes35c2,200$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked No51c2,200$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.962259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No50c1,984$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9922,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No49c1,870$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.2185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a00…4684backed No50c1,740$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.355962.7%37 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Yes44c1,656$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.095435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15041429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes35c1,429$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No51c1,424$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed No52c1,385$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.7914945%67 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd498…0d01backed Yes45c1,372$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf658…dcfebacked No66c1,360$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.783366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes33c1,334$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4321439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes45c1,263$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.1711348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes8c1,190$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7842336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No51c1,170$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.2997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8e…05c8backed No51c1,160$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.621330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Yes48c1,100$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52811044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes49c1,100$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9949441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Yes47c1,073$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.94231%13 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No51c1,047$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.862,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes49c1,046$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50829018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes43c1,024$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4409219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x974e…b5f0backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004436.4%16 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.811155%61 W · 50 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3612…177ebacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503857.9%22 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+54.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0394…3ef9backed Yes34c879.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2993237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked No52c879$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9213550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No65c877.13$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.137065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes49c787.76$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3865429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd58…f7b5backed No14c777.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.51650%3 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+247.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No51c743.47$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.3637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0617…e371backed Yes41c734.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007034.3%24 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Yes35c710$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.514134.8%49 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked No15c700$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5936235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.