TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,145 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x332c…ae23backed No51c470.55$240 inWon+$230.574748.9%23 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick35cpaid+108.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes49c255.09$125 inLost-$1259535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes53c134.75$71 inLost-$71.4238329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No48c101.39$49 inWon+$52.582,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes52c96.22$50 inLost-$504233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked No47c88.71$42 inWon+$47.021,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes49c77.14$38 inLost-$38.011,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes50c72$36 inLost-$3629645.6%135 W · 161 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes53c70.75$37 inLost-$37.516052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No47c70$33 inWon+$37.13,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ac…40d1backed Yes50c40$20 inLost-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd0…78febacked No48c39.38$19 inWon+$20.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes50c35$18 inLost-$17.53158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c34.14$14 inLost-$14.288,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No46c25.83$12 inWon+$13.9515859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3396…2448backed Yes54c25.83$14 inLost-$13.957746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe326…f075backed Yes51c24.51$12 inLost-$12.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No49c24.47$12 inWon+$12.489064.4%58 W · 32 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd064…d9febacked No67c17.99$12 inWon+$5.94955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.