Fifa International · resolved market
Harry Kane: 4+ shots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a1cb91ea22acc5cfe4e1a19b1e5a8580ac621818f12fe1927f3aa76ee9cf34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 44c | 2,544$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.53 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked No | 56c | 1,673$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.22 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…c1f2backed Yes | 43c | 1,270$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked No | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed No | 56c | 749.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d5…880abacked No | 57c | 748.65$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 56c | 555.11$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 57c | 537.24$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 54c | 517.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.26 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 58c | 475.78$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Yes | 43c | 434.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.05 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 380.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.06 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 44c | 325$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Yes | 44c | 311$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 462 | 30.1%139 W · 323 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 45c | 222.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 57c | 151.28$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed Yes | 39c | 148.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Yes | 44c | 124.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…68d4backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080c…0e1dbacked Yes | 43c | 97.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 59c | 91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 38c | 86.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 57c | 57.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed Yes | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked No | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 36.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd5…6750backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ec…1a4bbacked No | 58c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +12.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdaba…a787backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed No | 57c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…1d3cbacked No | 58c | 21.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…92b8backed No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 144 | 61.1%88 W · 56 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…ca8bbacked No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…2b7ebacked No | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 282 | 57.1%161 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…90bdbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harry Kane: 4+ shotsthis page
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
- Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
- Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
- Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
- Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
- Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
- Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
- Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
- Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
- Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
- Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
- Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
- Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.