TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Antonio Nusa: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,307 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7de3…d59bbacked No64c1,910$1,220 inWon+$689.951,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Yes36c1,000$360 inLost-$36018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes27c750$205 inLost-$20582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes37c569.28$208 inLost-$207.791,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes36c250$90 inLost-$9032044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Yes26c250$65 inLost-$6524540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06df…543fbacked Yes38c89.99$35 inLost-$34.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3143…3522backed Yes30c51.7$16 inLost-$15.511338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4793…a932backed No70c50$35 inWon+$153964.1%25 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No80c48.82$39 inWon+$9.8516065%104 W · 56 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ede…6395backed Yes31c48.66$15 inLost-$153228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No62c31.28$19 inWon+$11.982,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No62c18.47$11 inWon+$6.982,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.