TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Declan Rice: 1+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,361 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6027…4320backed No33c546.14$183 inWon+$363.192969%20 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes56c515.11$288 inLost-$288.461,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked No43c499.99$215 inWon+$28512056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Yes57c476.59$272 inLost-$271.6634357.7%198 W · 145 L+26.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No45c363.07$162 inWon+$201.391,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes67c299.99$201 inLost-$200.9910438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…fa3abacked No35c273.28$96 inWon+$177.6316260.5%98 W · 64 L+22.3wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5f72…e1bfbacked No43c179.83$77 inWon+$102.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inLost-$1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes69c146.9$101 inLost-$101.2127254.4%148 W · 124 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x593c…dae0backed Yes76c131.16$100 inLost-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No46c125.1$58 inWon+$67.5536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed No23c114.66$26 inWon+$88.2832042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5eb…d4e0backed Yes54c103.7$56 inLost-$561844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No31c100$31 inWon+$699078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No44c76.75$34 inWon+$432,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3099…3896backed No37c54.05$20 inWon+$34.057255.6%40 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18fe…af43backed Yes65c50$33 inLost-$32.58259.8%49 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ca…4419backed Yes78c38.46$30 inLost-$308170.4%57 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2882…c53dbacked Yes54c27.78$15 inLost-$155453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Yes64c25$16 inLost-$163158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Yes64c21.22$14 inLost-$13.5813956.8%79 W · 60 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.