TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,821 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes16c16,432$2,575 inLost-$2,575.4513725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c3,694$659 inLost-$658.711,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes1c1,208$10 inLost-$1012532.8%41 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Yes15c999.99$150 inLost-$15018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes18c522.37$94 inLost-$94.0341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes17c500$85 inLost-$8519251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No80c335.04$268 inWon+$67.0139951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes19c196$36 inLost-$36.263,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…ee4abacked Yes10c150$15 inLost-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes20c150$30 inLost-$3029338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0eb…2c46backed Yes20c138.42$27 inLost-$278021.3%17 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes17c132.73$22 inLost-$22.161,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed Yes16c125$20 inLost-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a3e…01f8backed Yes17c117.65$20 inLost-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost-$2027242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9146…2813backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost-$1517336.4%63 W · 110 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No77c65.22$50 inWon+$152,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…b5bebacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$106714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.