TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Declan Rice: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,237 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes1c6,123$59 inLost-$59.431,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost-$18017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b4…b2f6backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes12c1,713$200 inLost-$2007225%18 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5093…272cbacked Yes1c1,010$10 inLost-$10.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes10c820$82 inLost-$828419%16 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes8c500$40 inLost-$408528.2%24 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes9c300$27 inLost-$2715742%66 W · 91 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes9c266.41$23 inLost-$23.3129813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…c11abacked Yes8c257$21 inLost-$20.5670%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes9c250$23 inLost-$22.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a3e…01f8backed Yes9c222.78$20 inLost-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes9c166.67$15 inLost-$1510518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e1f…7828backed Yes12c151.83$18 inLost-$182532%8 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes10c150$15 inLost-$151,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes9c137.5$12 inLost-$11.711,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f79…5487backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$108821.6%19 W · 69 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe57…fdf6backed Yes8c125$10 inLost-$103946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost-$1027242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.