TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Declan Rice: 2+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,899 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d02…bfecbacked No68c470.47$322 inWon+$148.271,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124b…bd60backed No76c375.98$285 inWon+$90.569078.9%71 W · 19 L+18.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+53.9%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9692…7d0fbacked Yes33c303.34$100 inLost-$1002416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes28c300$84 inLost-$841,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4753…41adbacked No72c299.98$216 inWon+$83.995969.5%41 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost-$504233.3%14 W · 28 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes28c80.35$22 inLost-$22.516052.5%84 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed No69c72.46$50 inWon+$22.4639648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06df…543fbacked Yes35c70$24 inLost-$24.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1c…02eabacked No68c67$46 inWon+$21.446671.2%47 W · 19 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No65c56.11$36 inWon+$19.6428873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No65c41.58$27 inWon+$14.552,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No62c40$25 inWon+$15.237350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8977…6579backed No72c26.04$19 inWon+$7.297363%46 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No68c18$12 inWon+$5.763,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.