Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x636aaf7225ed216be97a82324f61db41b4b4974ef78e6039ea4f40ac39a4e79c

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $340,060
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $326,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,060 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3af0…2e7dbacked Yes	7c	37,856$2,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,774.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4b…fe64backed Yes	13c	35,298$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	16,060$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.11	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x794d…53c8backed Yes	13c	11,538$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	14c	10,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed Yes	14c	8,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abd…855dbacked Yes	13c	7,692$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes	13c	7,692$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x79a0…9b02backed Yes	15c	6,601$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes	14c	5,714$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	159	30.8%49 W · 110 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes	13c	4,615$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Yes	10c	4,420$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	126	34.9%44 W · 82 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	13c	3,485$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.99	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes	13c	3,308$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4665…23a8backed Yes	14c	3,027$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.82	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf77…35a2backed Yes	13c	2,860$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes	15c	2,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Yes	13c	2,308$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	214	43%92 W · 122 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes	13c	2,308$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3820…2112backed Yes	14c	2,086$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	+17.5wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60df…a69ebacked Yes	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cf…9c27backed Yes	14c	1,786$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	14c	1,775$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Yes	13c	1,716$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.96	93	51.6%48 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34d9…c8b1backed Yes	29c	1,712$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Yes	14c	1,670$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.36	122	26.2%32 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…4900backed Yes	13c	1,557$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.47	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a64…51b4backed Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	318	9.4%30 W · 288 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	6c	1,480$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.4	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes	6c	1,461$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.92	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	2c	1,195$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.78	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3972…5f85backed Yes	13c	1,154$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes	13c	1,100$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	+45%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	11c	1,100$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc018…8a16backed Yes	14c	1,071$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…048cbacked Yes	14c	1,066$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.28	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Yes	14c	1,028$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.89	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	6c	1,020$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.47	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	234	27.8%65 W · 169 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes	14c	999.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes	14c	999.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	13c	999.99$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	13c	929.11$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.49	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Yes	14c	846.72$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.54	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd069…e72ebacked Yes	13c	846.15$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	14c	841.28$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.99	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0398…5e96backed Yes	14c	821.43$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7461…5cc5backed Yes	13c	821.15$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.75	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f8…38b5backed Yes	5c	811.9$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.3	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+9.4wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+26%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5d74…ee45backed Yes	13c	800$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes	14c	777$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.78	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes	14c	775.43$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.56	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	100	34%34 W · 66 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ef8…ac18backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…a4c1backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb115…4e6fbacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	44.1%56 W · 71 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c16…4d41backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-42%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	14c	750$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c44…ce0cbacked Yes	14c	736.21$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.07	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62c…7681backed Yes	13c	732.38$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.21	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3567…cbedbacked Yes	13c	730.31$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.94	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…bdadbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	562	40.6%228 W · 334 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Yes	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	150	40.7%61 W · 89 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes	14c	714$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x991c…0b56backed Yes	14c	700$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+87.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef2c…be40backed Yes	13c	641.54$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Yes	15c	633.6$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Yes	3c	631.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4630…7de2backed Yes	14c	623.14$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.24	20	15%3 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd097…93d0backed Yes	14c	550$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+10.1wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0617…e371backed Yes	9c	535.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb69a…7b42backed Yes	13c	523.08$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	98	19.4%19 W · 79 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+146.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Yes	3c	500$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	255	10.6%27 W · 228 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x684e…9991backed Yes	13c	461.54$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2a0…3eadbacked Yes	14c	455.93$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.83	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	14c	449.7$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.96	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Yes	13c	446.15$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	172	41.3%71 W · 101 L	+6.3wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x520b…16b6backed Yes	13c	423.08$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1df…8a9cbacked Yes	12c	420$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae4…cc88backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae65…03e3backed Yes	14c	415.5$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes	13c	400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Yes	14c	400$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	118	28%33 W · 85 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ shotsYes won
Andreas Schjelderup: 1+ goalsYes won
Andreas Schjelderup: 2+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assistsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goalsNo won
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ assistsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 1+ shotsYes won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ goalsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 2+ shotsNo won
Antonio Nusa: 3+ shotsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assistsNo won
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 1+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ assistsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ goalsNo won
Declan Rice: 2+ shotsNo won
Declan Rice: 4+ shotsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ assistsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goalsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Elliot Anderson: 3+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ assistsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 1+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shotsYes won
Erling Haaland: 2+ shots on targetNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ goalsNo won
Erling Haaland: 3+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 4+ shotsNo won
Erling Haaland: 5+ shotsNo won
Fredrik Aursnes: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 1+ assistsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 1+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 2+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 2+ shotsYes won
Harry Kane: 3+ goalsNo won
Harry Kane: 3+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 4+ shotsNo won
Harry Kane: 5+ shotsNo won
Jordan Pickford: 3+ savesYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shotsYes won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assistsNo won
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Erling Haaland: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event