TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc330…2b7b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7229.2%21 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+295.1%+$488.64
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.34
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.83
Martin Ødegaard: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Antonio Nusa: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Erling Haaland: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.56
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.38
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$161.54
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.24
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+393.2%+$2,752.38
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.16
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$850
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$1,464.59
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+227.8%+$102.57
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.06
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+235.1%+$88.03
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.61
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$106.71
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.39
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.43
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.38
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
Will Solana reach $220 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20.4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$81.49
Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$195.63
Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$161.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Gruborbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$38.03
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Gonzalo Bueno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+58.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+217.7%+$87.08
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+84.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 27 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$176.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tranmere Rovers FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Skybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.