Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66fbbbdd85018017c1b6de182e27afbefbceb10baea9c5e13a458ea35d853ace
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $724,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $724,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 37c | 64,721$23,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,719.81 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 17c | 44,353$7,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,719.04 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…64a7backed Yes | 41c | 38,558$15,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,967.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca6…241ebacked No | 68c | 17,083$11,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,493.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes | 12c | 16,480$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.63 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 69c | 14,798$10,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.97 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 12c | 14,664$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…72b2backed Yes | 33c | 11,369$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb2…99a3backed No | 73c | 9,800$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…7214backed No | 37c | 9,573$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,017.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 19c | 8,634$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…ffa8backed Yes | 0c | 8,610$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 70c | 8,604$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 29c | 8,478$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.42 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 74c | 7,967$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.18 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 30c | 7,330$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…0022backed Yes | 21c | 6,446$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 36c | 6,075$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd133…ef27backed Yes | 22c | 6,046$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 5,929$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.54 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9095…96f7backed No | 41c | 5,300$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.99 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 32c | 4,914$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked Yes | 61c | 3,706$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.63 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…c97fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,590$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.85 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 78c | 3,418$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.02 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…d22ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,403$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked Yes | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Yes | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 77c | 2,991$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 19c | 2,923$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.42 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 67c | 2,800$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…fef0backed No | 74c | 2,652$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,204$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9957…daecbacked No | 49c | 2,147$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…b127backed No | 77c | 2,139$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…acffbacked Yes | 59c | 2,136$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed No | 54c | 2,073$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.43 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed No | 63c | 2,050$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0438backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 11c | 1,953$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,922$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 40c | 1,866$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.26 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…6e7ebacked No | 67c | 1,804$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…bdc8backed Yes | 27c | 1,791$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 62c | 1,781$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.8 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 52c | 1,767$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.61 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…3e0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,733$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,664$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…c198backed Yes | 63c | 1,655$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.4 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 60c | 1,639$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 66c | 1,626$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.66 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Yes | 42c | 1,613$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.92 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…b9c6backed No | 67c | 1,450$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed No | 45c | 1,300$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 45c | 1,292$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.81 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…2b7bbacked Yes | 24c | 1,287$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…a2fdbacked Yes | 76c | 1,255$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,245$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 48c | 1,201$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.41 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 40c | 1,199$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.26 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 25c | 1,175$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed No | 62c | 1,120$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 2c | 1,117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…951bbacked No | 58c | 1,082$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 1,014$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed No | 24c | 1,007$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.51 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…d71ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…4521backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…35eebacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes | 72c | 974.31$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked No | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…4ec7backed No | 52c | 887$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Yes | 69c | 886.99$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27a…1c07backed No | 60c | 749.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…da7abacked No | 27c | 669.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ce…f48bbacked Yes | 41c | 662.55$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed No | 79c | 593.03$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 55c | 588$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 58c | 561.73$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.67 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Yes | 32c | 528.21$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…9143backed Yes | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Yes | 56c | 500$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 56c | 500$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefca…3650backed No | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…cd2abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 48c | 417.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.89 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…aa32backed No | 74c | 410$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…4546backed Yes | 25c | 405$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 50c | 401.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…41b8backed No | 71c | 400$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,700 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.