Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f4c4f946f9f63a3a40ae309898e63bb37750418695b1d6c782725f58d25af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 73c | 25,444$18,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.98 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…c576backed Yes | 5c | 17,827$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 37c | 14,102$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.13 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 72c | 9,857$7,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.84 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,333$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 37c | 6,301$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes | 1c | 6,083$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…744fbacked Yes | 43c | 5,634$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3019…631ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,347$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 8c | 4,780$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,391.4 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ee…932cbacked No | 79c | 4,010$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 8c | 3,898$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 68c | 3,864$2,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.48 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 25c | 3,613$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.47 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…13f7backed Yes | 2c | 3,489$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +464.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…6c61backed Yes | 34c | 3,483$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.28 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 10c | 3,375$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.7 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 6c | 3,312$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…d588backed Yes | 33c | 3,002$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 72c | 2,750$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.15 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed Yes | 35c | 2,748$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.52 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…3600backed Yes | 5c | 2,400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,072$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed No | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,997$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8a…a9fbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,912$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 1,567$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…7be2backed Yes | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…1623backed No | 19c | 1,200$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +428.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 56c | 1,151$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…06babacked Yes | 43c | 988.3$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 977.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 46c | 973.65$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked No | 71c | 912.76$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…946cbacked No | 38c | 904.72$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…4ef7backed Yes | 7c | 884.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 48c | 805.24$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd0…c365backed Yes | 4c | 746.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 70c | 717.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.71 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 78c | 629.79$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…de8bbacked Yes | 67c | 504.03$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…dfdcbacked Yes | 48c | 501.75$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ec…d630backed Yes | 22c | 480.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 59c | 446.96$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 436.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 46c | 431.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9574…2e6ebacked Yes | 23c | 377.7$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…002bbacked Yes | 6c | 376.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…9865backed Yes | 9c | 362.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 51c | 345.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe764…b89abacked Yes | 30c | 335$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…ae4abacked Yes | 30c | 329.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…daf3backed Yes | 32c | 321.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.11 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3883…6bb0backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 71c | 263.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed Yes | 30c | 255.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Yes | 20c | 224$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…ca00backed No | 20c | 220$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 9c | 218.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 7c | 202.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked No | 61c | 190$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked No | 52c | 189.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc43…1c86backed Yes | 14c | 181.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Yes | 9c | 166.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…863cbacked No | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…1e46backed Yes | 58c | 166.12$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0be…e7d4backed Yes | 32c | 165.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked No | 12c | 160.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…94b6backed Yes | 15c | 153$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked No | 70c | 143.88$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…0775backed Yes | 59c | 124.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4392…5723backed No | 47c | 106.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…cf1dbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…eb20backed Yes | 25c | 85.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 82.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…6c18backed Yes | 71c | 80.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb85d…4ac4backed No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked No | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…0111backed Yes | 70c | 71.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…4c1ebacked Yes | 39c | 61.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0407backed Yes | 22c | 55.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 23c | 52.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…c10cbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb6…5875backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…c0eabacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…42a1backed Yes | 73c | 39.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…2520backed No | 66c | 37.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…c19ebacked No | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…2cd1backed No | 39c | 29.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 75c | 28.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | -19.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,700 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.