Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfcfefbc138c5b5e91507860b43a9163ceb1c5398d98fbd40c3382d55cc96b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc487…b127backed No | 55c | 29,430$16,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,290.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 55c | 18,838$10,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,521.05 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 40c | 15,183$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,062.86 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 59c | 13,456$7,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,510.63 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…01b7backed Yes | 49c | 10,408$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.85 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…946cbacked No | 16c | 6,664$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 70c | 6,621$4,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.17 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 22c | 6,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…7022backed No | 54c | 5,226$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 58c | 5,161$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.99 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 5,121$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.16 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5a…df23backed Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…c9b7backed Yes | 57c | 3,348$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…b101backed No | 25c | 3,236$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.98 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…335ebacked Yes | 50c | 3,019$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e5…c1ecbacked Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…bdc8backed Yes | 50c | 2,942$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880a…308ebacked No | 25c | 2,811$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 52c | 2,400$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…aeacbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 62c | 1,947$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…55cdbacked No | 49c | 1,944$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c01…797dbacked No | 12c | 1,865$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +203.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 34c | 1,755$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.06 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…decabacked No | 77c | 1,700$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 62c | 1,700$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…81cebacked Yes | 60c | 1,700$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02c…da7abacked No | 24c | 1,623$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 58c | 1,381$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.11 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,343$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 55c | 1,121$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…681abacked Yes | 56c | 1,095$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,055$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.01 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed Yes | 50c | 844.51$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.26 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…e01bbacked No | 10c | 799.35$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8d…458abacked No | 15c | 658.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…60f1backed No | 78c | 642.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 58c | 567.24$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…397abacked No | 23c | 526.3$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 43c | 507.35$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…d7c9backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…91bfbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f78…ae4abacked No | 7c | 484$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2c…9a03backed No | 48c | 479.04$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 42c | 469.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.59 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…41c6backed No | 10c | 437.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Yes | 58c | 432$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked Yes | 45c | 400.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…3c05backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x317b…8e90backed Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c8…84a0backed No | 37c | 384.73$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…5cdebacked No | 52c | 320$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3883…6bb0backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…ff32backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x121d…832abacked Yes | 54c | 277.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.48 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 39c | 257.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 43c | 251.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed No | 59c | 249$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf92…5e5bbacked No | 46c | 240.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Yes | 26c | 236$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 40c | 226$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…5e57backed No | 13c | 202$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…e544backed No | 19c | 198.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…b594backed No | 50c | 188.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…c85ebacked Yes | 60c | 187.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcec…d169backed No | 31c | 181.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…8954backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…5506backed No | 43c | 165.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 72c | 164$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf564…f1afbacked No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 65c | 159.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a20…295abacked Yes | 44c | 155$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 20c | 153.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5e…9b70backed Yes | 44c | 140$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 48c | 137.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…ad7fbacked Yes | 57c | 134.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf98…d0bfbacked No | 44c | 118.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…e0ccbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…61bebacked Yes | 53c | 107.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…8f35backed Yes | 58c | 107.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…5cd6backed Yes | 41c | 105.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…9c24backed Yes | 48c | 101.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…3e8dbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 58c | 98.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd304…fbb8backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…216ebacked No | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 53c | 87.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1364…c10cbacked No | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ce…2fa6backed No | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $900 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,700 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,800 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in July?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.