TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6137…171e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT6163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.61
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$17.88
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.91
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.54
Blackhawks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.84
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.52
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.62
Sabres vs. Capitalsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.15
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.52
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.24
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.93
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.02
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.01
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.86
Spread: Sharks (-1.5)backed Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.48
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.75
Spread: Cavaliers (-16.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.08
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.68
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.29
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.57
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.33
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.13
Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.46
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.26
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.35
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.43
Spread: Kings (-1.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.8
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$134.62
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$451.16
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$389.52
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$152.78
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$257
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+300%+$218.33
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$124.35
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$425
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+156.4%+$142.74
Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma Sooners vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.66
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.84
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.63
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.42
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.23
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.4
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.47
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.86
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.33
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.16
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$103.2
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$181.44
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$578.83
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.84
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$534.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$232.85
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+379.3%+$1,286.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$225
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$282
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$387
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$19.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$13.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Team Falcons (+3.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$385
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed ETH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+154.6%+$1,312.88
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$922.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.