TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tennessee Volunteersof Tennessee Volunteers, Virginia Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,792 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers32c9,283$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.975,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tennessee Volunteers61c7,882$4,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.0825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee Volunteers63c6,304$3,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,304.721,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Virginia Cavaliers52c5,106$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.952,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c4,401$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.2839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Virginia Cavaliers20c3,805$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.5649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tennessee Volunteers48c3,798$1,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.7818744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Virginia Cavaliers52c3,030$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.65639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5748…3c7bbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c2,974$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.142450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee Volunteers58c2,852$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.483,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c2,759$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.214360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Tennessee Volunteers49c2,750$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.55060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Tennessee Volunteers49c2,750$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.474656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers48c2,711$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.62,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Tennessee Volunteers47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.993641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c2,444$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.581952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Virginia Cavaliers50c2,110$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Virginia Cavaliers52c1,906$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2627947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Virginia Cavaliers53c1,870$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.283060%18 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Tennessee Volunteers49c1,800$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9181030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Tennessee Volunteers48c1,731$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.348946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Tennessee Volunteers47c1,700$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.9915858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Virginia Cavaliers51c1,592$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.1416341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Virginia Cavaliers52c1,418$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.11,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Virginia Cavaliers50c1,383$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.254744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Tennessee Volunteers47c1,325$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7026149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Tennessee Volunteers48c1,032$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.8792246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c1,027$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.944143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Tennessee Volunteers48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.658444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c1,009$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.546349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Virginia Cavaliers52c1,007$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.8310443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Virginia Cavaliers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c02…ba96backed Tennessee Volunteers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Tennessee Volunteers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Tennessee Volunteers47c997.8$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.8637246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed45…3de8backed Tennessee Volunteers48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.46825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tennessee Volunteers47c989.79$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.5961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Tennessee Volunteers48c941.03$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.0818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Virginia Cavaliers57c869.67$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.712171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Virginia Cavaliers45c839.03$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.641,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c796.15$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4147643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Virginia Cavaliers50c757.31$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6614447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Virginia Cavaliers22c749.93$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.985044%22 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Virginia Cavaliers45c717.06$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.522250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Tennessee Volunteers47c644.03$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.248748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Tennessee Volunteers48c619.54$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1278052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Tennessee Volunteers38c613.73$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9219153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Tennessee Volunteers48c566.86$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.267951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c497.82$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8731448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Virginia Cavaliers53c428.23$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.962540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…613bbacked Virginia Cavaliers51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Tennessee Volunteers47c388.66$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9912344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Tennessee Volunteers61c379.47$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.992360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Tennessee Volunteers74c377.63$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9919958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Virginia Cavaliers53c374.07$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2618846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Virginia Cavaliers51c360.81$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Virginia Cavaliers20c360.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9831837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Virginia Cavaliers31c356.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.541353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tennessee Volunteers74c343.74$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.412,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Virginia Cavaliers52c296.39$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Virginia Cavaliers52c290$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Virginia Cavaliers51c286.88$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3110458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29f0…d353backed Tennessee Volunteers73c276.95$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec4…b8e5backed Virginia Cavaliers52c269$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.882240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c252$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.561020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-57.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Tennessee Volunteers48c247.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.864257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Virginia Cavaliers50c235$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.55552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x405f…5852backed Virginia Cavaliers53c227.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tennessee Volunteers68c211.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6425246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Virginia Cavaliers53c198.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Virginia Cavaliers51c198.24$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.162451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf295…508fbacked Tennessee Volunteers47c195.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.862548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14dc…ef3abacked Virginia Cavaliers53c194.25$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick55cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5070…6c47backed Virginia Cavaliers52c193$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.361844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ac…914abacked Virginia Cavaliers53c192.68$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tennessee Volunteers49c189.33$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.561,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Virginia Cavaliers53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Virginia Cavaliers53c187.03$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1333855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0e…edc7backed Tennessee Volunteers48c179.46$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a4…5f6dbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c178.15$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…1128backed Tennessee Volunteers48c174.8$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c174.47$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.475959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf318…1b48backed Tennessee Volunteers48c174.16$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Virginia Cavaliers52c174$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.481637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Virginia Cavaliers53c168.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3112649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Tennessee Volunteers49c165.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.653847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x979a…546bbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c163.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffb…2d43backed Tennessee Volunteers48c153.68$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.914100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Virginia Cavaliers52c150.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.087045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Tennessee Volunteers49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.54438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb74…53c8backed Tennessee Volunteers48c147.49$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa555…20babacked Virginia Cavaliers53c141.68$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2442…0c2bbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c140.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3514051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Tennessee Volunteers48c138.36$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.957655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6321…86fcbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c137.61$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Virginia Cavaliers48c132.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7644146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Virginia Cavaliers36c130.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdb…e382backed Tennessee Volunteers48c124.3$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…bbbbbacked Tennessee Volunteers48c124.23$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.