TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,566 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c2b…2575backed Over51c67,688$34,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,167.1660949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c19,255$9,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,459.0139454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over51c11,895$6,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,828.5712054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under48c10,085$4,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.291,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9004540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.962729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Under48c9,998$4,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.073956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under52c8,563$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.5218548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Under49c8,128$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,982.8613453%71 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c7,001$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.172,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c6,542$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.722,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Under52c6,216$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c6,211$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.8617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under49c4,586$2,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.144143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over72c3,776$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.6325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c3,661$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.7790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c3,442$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,686.41,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over51c3,395$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,677.2313343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Under49c3,300$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6171850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under53c3,194$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.1723243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ec9…75c7backed Under49c3,157$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.152860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Over51c3,040$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.518946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4707231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over50c3,000$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4906349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Over51c2,994$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.33333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c2,911$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.251,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under49c2,793$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.337643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under48c2,707$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.473,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c2,321$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.2312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over50c2,296$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1483154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…5e9ebacked Over52c2,225$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over49c2,023$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.7155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,015$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c2,002$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.9618048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9804854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over62c1,954$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.164,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over50c1,768$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.211952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d0…ae3bbacked Under49c1,657$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8315858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3839backed Under44c1,577$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Over51c1,472$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72612344.7%55 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79e…5e9ebacked Over52c1,225$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc676…f35cbacked Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5888248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Over51c1,141$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5396142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under50c1,011$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.495149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d6…d65fbacked Under49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.95639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49013447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae46…a663backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf295…508fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e44…1953backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under49c998$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0211542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c971$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7916341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c916.84$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2514447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c894.23$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0684147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Under36c826.61$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.586023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over50c750$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3754744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under47c699.97$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9816147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed Over50c678$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3393554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c619.54$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.381,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under49c566.43$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.552748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Under49c537.09$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.158444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c435.38$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.691,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under46c431.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.269153.8%49 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over51c396.5$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.292236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c363.09$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2631448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c333.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.711,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under52c319.19$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.982951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Under46c307.01$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.671947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c302.79$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3716650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c290.41$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.065,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c286$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14318556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under49c242.76$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.953953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec4…b8e5backed Over52c237.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over52c237.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.934438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c215.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under41c208.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Under48c208.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9212147.9%58 W · 63 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…378cbacked Over51c205.7$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over63c204.61$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3519147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over49c202.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.2714325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb2c…4568backed Over49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9862451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1320642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e6…298dbacked Under50c196.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over50c196.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.174942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf85…2016backed Over51c178$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.224100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeccb…991dbacked Under50c173.83$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Over50c165$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.