NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3047c7aa933fabccf818597e7ef35dfd0047e79d90cb5dccec20f33b5cea1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Panthers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $806,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 68c | 398,091$268,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,370.09 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers | 32c | 252,946$81,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,850.38 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Panthers | 32c | 226,664$73,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,638.49 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Panthers | 33c | 59,680$19,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,694.33 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 68c | 50,000$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Penguins | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins | 71c | 19,472$13,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.91 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 68c | 15,500$10,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.98 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…c141backed Panthers | 10c | 13,608$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 70c | 13,345$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,044.53 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Panthers | 31c | 12,542$3,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,937.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Penguins | 68c | 12,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Panthers | 32c | 11,078$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.96 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Panthers | 32c | 9,983$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.5 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…e373backed Panthers | 0c | 9,906$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Panthers | 0c | 8,804$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Penguins | 67c | 7,310$4,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.46 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Panthers | 10c | 6,317$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.35 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…4af7backed Panthers | 2c | 6,130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Panthers | 32c | 5,225$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.89 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Penguins | 68c | 5,067$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.32 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd801…ab8bbacked Panthers | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Penguins | 67c | 4,953$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.15 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers | 0c | 4,601$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 69c | 4,254$2,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.08 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Panthers | 2c | 4,046$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Penguins | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Penguins | 68c | 3,809$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 68c | 3,803$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.49 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 68c | 3,800$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Panthers | 32c | 3,751$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Panthers | 10c | 3,474$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.35 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers | 32c | 2,750$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.96 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Penguins | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Panthers | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 67c | 2,481$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.69 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 67c | 2,407$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Panthers | 2c | 2,134$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Penguins | 69c | 2,064$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.08 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Penguins | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 18c | 1,969$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.64 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 16c | 1,821$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 80c | 1,762$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.93 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Panthers | 14c | 1,505$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Penguins | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Penguins | 65c | 1,480$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.29 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Penguins | 79c | 1,421$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.99 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…3c93backed Panthers | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Panthers | 16c | 1,147$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.71 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -12.7wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Panthers | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 71c | 1,074$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Penguins | 77c | 1,070$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.91 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Penguins | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Penguins | 67c | 985.29$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.15 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Penguins | 67c | 939.8$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Penguins | 69c | 925.78$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.61 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Panthers | 18c | 916$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.61 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Panthers | 33c | 900$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Penguins | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Penguins | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…7402backed Penguins | 68c | 877.32$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 68c | 800.17$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Panthers | 32c | 780$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Penguins | 68c | 772.1$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.7 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Panthers | 32c | 750$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Penguins | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Panthers | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Penguins | 67c | 647$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.51 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Penguins | 67c | 607.89$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Penguins | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Panthers | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Penguins | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Penguins | 77c | 560.86$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penguins | 63c | 558.03$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.47 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…9257backed Panthers | 31c | 538.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 75c | 506.86$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Panthers | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Panthers | 34c | 499.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Penguins | 67c | 499.95$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Panthers | 36c | 499.8$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.93 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Penguins | 75c | 491.75$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Panthers | 32c | 482.88$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…5c55backed Panthers | 35c | 480$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Penguins | 68c | 464.84$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 67c | 463.49$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.13 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Panthers | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Panthers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Panthers | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Panthers | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Panthers | 32c | 390.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Panthers | 27c | 384.49$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Penguins | 68c | 381.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Panthers | 29c | 371.16$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Panthers | 33c | 338.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Penguins | 79c | 335.14$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Panthers | 25c | 326.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…a4c9backed Panthers | 24c | 324.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.