NHL · resolved market
Spread: Penguins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7be4e7e88042c0e2f36442bbbbda4d0bf2435d2f1cda1be6c195c7aa399b25d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 47c | 2,695$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.51 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Panthers | 53c | 1,680$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.94 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Penguins | 48c | 1,471$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.69 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers | 52c | 1,023$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Penguins | 48c | 809.29$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 52c | 763.11$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Panthers | 52c | 748.92$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa325…27cabacked Penguins | 48c | 555.06$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.63 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Panthers | 52c | 479.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 48c | 462.24$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Panthers | 53c | 370.26$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 47c | 325.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Penguins | 64c | 294.97$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Panthers | 55c | 276.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 53c | 270.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.22 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Penguins | 48c | 222.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Penguins | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Penguins | 46c | 199.95$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Panthers | 53c | 130.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Penguins | 48c | 106.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 719 | 52.4%377 W · 342 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 25c | 103.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Panthers | 52c | 102.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Penguins | 48c | 100.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 231 | 48.9%113 W · 118 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Panthers | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Penguins | 46c | 82.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Penguins | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Panthers | 52c | 77.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Panthers | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Penguins | 45c | 70.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Penguins | 64c | 65.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Penguins | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Penguins | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Panthers | 53c | 60.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Penguins | 47c | 55.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Penguins | 45c | 55.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panthers | 52c | 51.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Panthers | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Penguins | 45c | 47.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panthers | 54c | 41.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Penguins | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Penguins | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Panthers | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Panthers | 29c | 35.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Penguins | 71c | 33.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Panthers | 43c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Penguins | 70c | 33.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Penguins | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Penguins | 57c | 29.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Panthers | 53c | 26.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Penguins | 48c | 26.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Panthers | 52c | 25.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers | 52c | 24.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Penguins | 48c | 24.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Penguins | 60c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 71c | 21.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.