NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83ed58d4e20fb6133954f9e504e2aee3542f7af7a9e7908ddf61f83ad73037ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 45c | 5,703$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.95 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed Over | 55c | 4,857$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 45c | 4,849$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.87 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 2,355$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 54c | 2,226$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 51c | 1,723$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 28c | 1,346$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.72 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15b…bff1backed Under | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.87 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 60c | 1,299$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.04 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…0222backed Over | 62c | 1,204$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 9c | 1,100$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 925.2$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 865.28$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.34 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 45c | 799.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Over | 58c | 733$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.17 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 612.26$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.87 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4c63backed Under | 46c | 582$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 9c | 549.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 39c | 544.7$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 51c | 465.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.19 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.5wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 48c | 396.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 56c | 270.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.54 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 53c | 231.5$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 49c | 227.7$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.06 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 224.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 54c | 184.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 182.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 162.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.45 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 46c | 161.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7c83backed Under | 46c | 154$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0eb…af1ebacked Under | 27c | 151.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 172 | 27.3%47 W · 125 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 29c | 144$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Over | 75c | 137$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 55c | 122.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 25c | 120.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 35c | 105.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…0236backed Under | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 24c | 94.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 92.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…6c47backed Over | 53c | 91.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 52c | 85.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 61c | 82.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 80.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 61.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 53c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 46c | 47.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…fffdbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…9f92backed Over | 53c | 40.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under | 44c | 39.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 53c | 36.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 41c | 33.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cac…988ebacked Under | 30c | 33.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed Over | 71c | 27.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…3fcdbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7019…8feebacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…66e3backed Over | 52c | 24.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 58c | 24.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…8ff5backed Under | 48c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…bc7bbacked Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…3d29backed Under | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…83e9backed Over | 52c | 22.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…768abacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…220abacked Over | 52c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e59…5eefbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…d694backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…f27dbacked Over | 52c | 20.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…dc82backed Over | 52c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…8620backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…e396backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…20d1backed Over | 52c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 62c | 17.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 73c | 14.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. PenguinsPenguins won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.