NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec6ac4b4c6527e972582007fb0af4334eb0ff87654ff0d883f009031d6d0916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Kraken, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $555,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $577,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $555,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Kraken | 40c | 373,773$150,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,009.06 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Jets | 60c | 252,916$151,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,142.46 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Jets | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Jets | 59c | 43,284$25,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,746.6 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0569…66c9backed Kraken | 39c | 19,400$7,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Jets | 65c | 16,748$10,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,821.91 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Jets | 60c | 16,149$9,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.63 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…0e20backed Jets | 61c | 15,399$9,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 34c | 8,706$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Kraken | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Jets | 61c | 6,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jets | 59c | 4,945$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Jets | 60c | 4,820$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Kraken | 40c | 4,524$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Jets | 61c | 4,250$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.5 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Jets | 61c | 4,000$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.6 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Jets | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…9adcbacked Jets | 61c | 3,788$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Kraken | 39c | 3,613$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.9 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kraken | 40c | 3,600$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…d31cbacked Jets | 61c | 3,442$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Jets | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.2 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c0…dff3backed Jets | 61c | 3,213$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Jets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Jets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jets | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da2…b118backed Kraken | 39c | 2,618$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Kraken | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c4…e8edbacked Kraken | 39c | 2,383$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Jets | 61c | 2,267$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 7c | 2,255$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ca88backed Kraken | 40c | 2,229$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets | 59c | 2,106$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.57 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Jets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kraken | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Jets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Jets | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 12c | 1,849$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Jets | 60c | 1,522$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.82 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Jets | 59c | 1,319$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.85 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Kraken | 5c | 1,287$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Kraken | 40c | 1,287$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jets | 60c | 1,256$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 41c | 1,211$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.95 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Kraken | 9c | 1,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kraken | 40c | 1,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.87 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kraken | 40c | 1,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.87 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.87 | 228 | 53.9%123 W · 105 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Kraken | 40c | 1,083$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.87 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kraken | 41c | 1,078$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kraken | 41c | 1,078$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Kraken | 40c | 1,057$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Jets | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Jets | 60c | 1,027$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Kraken | 2c | 1,025$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Jets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Jets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Jets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed Jets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Jets | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Kraken | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Jets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Jets | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Jets | 60c | 999.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Jets | 60c | 991.85$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…bf2ebacked Jets | 61c | 987$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.93 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Kraken | 40c | 949.55$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.82 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Jets | 60c | 935.55$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.22 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kraken | 40c | 882.66$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.06 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kraken | 40c | 882.66$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.06 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…ab57backed Kraken | 40c | 814.75$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…592cbacked Jets | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Kraken | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Jets | 56c | 735.47$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.47 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…4377backed Jets | 61c | 672$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Jets | 62c | 654.14$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Kraken | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Kraken | 40c | 570.16$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jets | 78c | 547.21$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b0…740bbacked Kraken | 39c | 510.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…4feebacked Kraken | 40c | 508.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050b…2415backed Kraken | 20c | 505.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Kraken | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Kraken | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…27e0backed Kraken | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…691dbacked Kraken | 40c | 471.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…e490backed Kraken | 40c | 466.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Kraken | 40c | 451.4$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bd…bf57backed Jets | 61c | 444$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Kraken | 40c | 427.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Kraken | 43c | 416.36$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 42c | 414.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…824abacked Jets | 61c | 411$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Jets | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Kraken | 40c | 386.68$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.67 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Jets | 74c | 378.85$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Kraken | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kraken | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Jetsthis page
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Jets: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.