TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2294…824a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.49
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$120.35
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.23
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$168
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.48
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$70.2
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+400%+$98.4
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.76
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.56
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.6
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.85
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$68.38
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$76.55
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.98
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
Hurricanes vs. Utahbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$75.6
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.92
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$160.29
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.85
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$80.37
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$105.84
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$197.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+335.7%+$323.6
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$32.89
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+97.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+56.3%+$70.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.