MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68247dd67c07ff2e3504d89126a92c33f5393d244a6635a382e4ae2225178fa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof San Francisco Giants, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,857.14 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 16,623$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.11 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 9,522$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.95 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 6,673$3,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.5 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 5,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 11c | 5,369$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.32 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 77c | 4,440$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.62 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 3,561$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.63 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 3,285$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,817$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.35 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,650$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,400$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,380$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 14c | 1,221$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,008$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.56 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 32c | 727.69$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked San Francisco Giants | 21c | 720.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 713$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 689.19$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.45 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…57e8backed San Francisco Giants | 15c | 660$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…7163backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 610.25$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed San Francisco Giants | 12c | 605.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…e520backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 529.89$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd559…ff47backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 508.54$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…c99cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 489.95$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 472.45$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cff…86debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 460$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 454.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe89e…d4a7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 454.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…8e79backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 439.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked San Francisco Giants | 48c | 417.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 407.47$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 15c | 407.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 386.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 374.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 367.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 320.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 308.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 276$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 271.67$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 268.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 240.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Francisco Giants | 19c | 240$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 235.31$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Francisco Giants | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed San Francisco Giants | 5c | 186.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…824abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 172.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 164.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked San Francisco Giants | 35c | 160.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…bdf3backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 152.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 152.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…1715backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 142.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 137.91$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4444…e941backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 124.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 12c | 122.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Francisco Giants | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…bb43backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 117.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7723…0b87backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 116.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…eadebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 111.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…aea9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 110.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 107.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 106.25$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58f…130dbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 101.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…8497backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 101.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked San Francisco Giants | 13c | 101.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed San Francisco Giants | 29c | 99.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 73c | 93.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…8f98backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 86.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 142 | 61.3%87 W · 55 L | +18.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…469fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 83.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…09bebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 82.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…3b21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 82.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 12.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 14.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 15.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-9.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona DiamondbacksYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.