TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9eea…8e79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10145.5%46 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$48.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$88.2
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.5
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$82.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$81.73
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$358.6
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$426Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$426
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$115
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Metsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+256.3%+$115.1
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.