World Politics · resolved market
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc4d3f9cbe31ba83b60990788eda66ae06cffd42e548266606cfd4fe3bc4525
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,352,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,256,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,352,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba62…a624backed Yes | 39c | 91,003$35,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,511.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0261…94f1backed No | 61c | 91,003$55,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,511.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 30c | 72,583$21,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,632.26 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 78c | 40,265$31,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,668.02 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 21c | 40,133$8,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,261.51 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 17c | 37,279$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed No | 26c | 35,663$9,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,344.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +647.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…5716backed Yes | 69c | 34,703$23,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,884.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 13c | 28,643$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.62 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6829…a847backed Yes | 76c | 26,250$19,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 29c | 25,155$7,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,336.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed Yes | 79c | 23,644$18,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 22c | 23,285$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.83 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed No | 17c | 19,321$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 12c | 17,504$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.32 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…f1a6backed No | 19c | 17,435$3,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…53a3backed No | 18c | 16,988$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,059.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 79c | 14,311$11,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.04 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed No | 34c | 12,716$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.17 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked Yes | 67c | 12,570$8,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…d560backed Yes | 68c | 12,105$8,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 75c | 12,035$8,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 79c | 11,185$8,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.62 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 5c | 11,001$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.3 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed No | 19c | 11,000$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 30c | 10,563$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.74 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 67c | 10,245$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.13 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 67c | 10,032$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.61 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed No | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 20c | 9,393$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 74c | 9,358$6,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 30c | 8,998$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.28 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 8,400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yes | 76c | 8,361$6,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.83 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf082…a593backed No | 9c | 8,199$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 21c | 7,979$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 65c | 7,791$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.47 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…c072backed No | 6c | 7,547$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked No | 24c | 7,462$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.59 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 14c | 7,407$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.74 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 35c | 7,135$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked No | 32c | 7,119$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…6440backed Yes | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 20c | 6,867$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.96 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 24c | 6,813$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.24 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 35c | 6,449$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.56 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked No | 16c | 6,311$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.61 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…18a9backed No | 24c | 5,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 17c | 5,814$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.66 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 55c | 5,720$3,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.33 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 5,377$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.18 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…c658backed Yes | 73c | 5,376$3,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 6c | 5,300$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…24bebacked Yes | 68c | 5,024$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed No | 15c | 4,592$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.04 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 2c | 4,560$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 79c | 4,453$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.65 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 65c | 4,399$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.81 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 32c | 4,313$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.77 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed No | 10c | 4,174$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…17e7backed No | 26c | 4,000$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…5d6cbacked No | 26c | 3,824$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +846.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 68c | 3,813$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…c25abacked No | 23c | 3,772$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…ec0cbacked No | 6c | 3,643$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61f…10bfbacked Yes | 77c | 3,508$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed No | 7c | 3,428$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 13c | 3,248$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.51 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…4e5bbacked No | 20c | 3,221$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked No | 18c | 3,220$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.17 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…4b10backed No | 17c | 3,176$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.32 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf13…690abacked No | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 71c | 2,966$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 75c | 2,933$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…4a16backed No | 8c | 2,917$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…7ae9backed Yes | 70c | 2,917$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…f14bbacked No | 25c | 2,834$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 34c | 2,800$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed No | 21c | 2,700$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.99 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 29c | 2,655$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.11 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe8…b7e4backed No | 6c | 2,618$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 14c | 2,557$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.61 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 2,526$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.76 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…b69cbacked Yes | 77c | 2,500$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 2c | 2,498$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +420.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…e3e1backed No | 29c | 2,390$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 69c | 2,320$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 69c | 2,233$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.39 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked No | 6c | 2,162$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…57c5backed No | 19c | 2,124$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 26c | 2,088$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 23c | 2,071$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 76c | 2,009$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.13 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 2,002$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4012backed No | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 3c | 2,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…c1b8backed No | 25c | 1,995$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.